Tuesday, November 25, 2014

2014 NCAA Playoff Points Rankings: Week 13

Happy Tuesday! I hope you all had a good weekend. I'm back to take a look at college football because my voice needs a break. Double overtime games are brutal to announce, but when your team wins? All is good.

Anyway, now we come back to the gridiron. At this point, a lot of the division races are wrapped up, though there are some major games still left to be played this coming weekend. That comes tomorrow when I look at the NCSS rankings.

The College Football Playoff Selection Committee had some interesting decisions last week, and to some degree we agreed, but not entirely. That may change with the Death to the BCS Playoff seedings that will come out later today just ahead of the new committee rankings. So with this week's games shifting some of the NCSS numbers around a bit, will Playoff Points change?

If you are unfamiliar with how this metric works, you can view a summary on Playoff Points here. Let's look at the data.


American Athletic
Wins: 4.64 (10th; LW: 11th)
PP1: 13.82 (10th; LW: 10th)
PP2: 7.83 (10th; LW: 9th)

ACC
Wins: 6.36 (4th; LW: 4th)
PP1: 28.79 (4th; LW: 4th)
PP2: 18.26 (2nd; LW: 4th)

Big 10
Wins: 6.50 (3rd; LW: 3rd)
PP1: 29.79 (3rd; LW: 3rd)
PP2: 18.21 (3rd; LW: 2nd)

Big XII
Wins: 6.00 (5th; LW: 5th)
PP1: 24.90 (5th; LW: 5th)
PP2: 16.16 (5th; LW: 5th)

Conference USA
Wins: 5.38 (8th; LW: 8th)
PP1: 20.77 (8th; LW: 8th)
PP2: 13.10 (7th; LW: 7th)

Independents
Wins: 5.75 (T-6th; LW: T-6th)
PP1: 23.50 (6th; LW: 6th)
PP2: 13.40 (6th; LW: 6th)

MAC
Wins: 4.92 (9th; LW: 9th)
PP1: 15.00 (9th; LW: 9th)
PP2: 8.04 (9th; LW: 10th)

Mountain West
Wins: 5.75 (T-6th; LW: T-6th)
PP1: 21.25 (7th; LW: 7th)
PP2: 11.26 (8th; LW: 8th)

Pac 12
Wins: 6.58 (2nd; LW: 2nd)
PP1: 30.83 (2nd; LW: 2nd)
PP2: 17.95 (4th; LW: 3rd)

SEC
Wins: 7.07 (1st; LW: 1st)
PP1: 35.36 (1st; LW: 1st)
PP2: 20.67 (1st; LW: 1st)

Sun Belt
Wins: 4.55 (11th; LW: 10th)
PP1: 12.82 (11th; LW: 11th)
PP2: 5.16 (11th; LW: 11th)


Note: While I round all numbers to the nearest hundredth for the purpose of convenience, the independents were they their own conference and the Mountain West have identical average win totals.

Photo by Luis Sinco (Los Angeles Times)
This late in the season, most of the rankings are set in stone, except seemingly the Second Degree Playoff Points. The SEC has led in all categories for most of the season now, and they kept up despite the massive amount of cowards they have. Everyone else just had a chance to kind of catch up. Individually, we have a new First Degree Playoff Points leader: UCLA. They jumped ahead of everyone else with their win over USC this week to hit 58 points, one more than Florida State and Ohio State. A total of seven teams have at least 50 PP1, while 11 others have at least 40 points. Based on that, we're going to have a bunch of those teams that aren't going to make the Death to the BCS Playoffs. If you want to look at all of my data from this season, you can view the spreadsheet here.

That's where I have to ask your opinions. The Death to the BCS Playoffs are just a couple weeks away from being finalized. All ten conference champions will make it, but how should they be seeded? And who would you give at-large bids to? Leave your thoughts in the comments below. I'm going to dig into the data and come back this afternoon with an updated mock bracket if the season ended today.

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