That said, I can't just go and do this on my own. I need my NFL partner in crime back for this one. Adam Quinn, who was victorious in the 2015 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em by a sizable margin, is back to pick the Super Bowl with me.
Of course, because it's such a big game, we're also getting back into the fun part from last year: the prop bets. I ended up winning based solely on nailing the Gatorade bath color, but Adam was pretty on the money with his other bets, so it was a pretty close contest.
We are going to do this the same way we did it last year. Each bet that we lay will be putting 100 points on the line, with a chance to win however many are available from betting those 100 points. We will each pick the game based on the Vegas line and go through a number of props ranging from Super Bowl MVP, touchdown and yard-related bets, and some of the fun novelty ones.
Before we get into those, however, here are my and Adam's picks for the Super Bowl.
Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos (+6) (+/- 45.5)
For the second straight year, the top seeds from each conference advanced to football's biggest specatcle. The Panthers are currently on a 22-2 run dating back to last season behind an explosinve Cam Newton-led offense and an excellent, opportunistic defense. The Broncos have the league's top defense however, and a still solid offense led by a legend who might be in the middle of his final rodeo. These are probably the two most complete teams in the NFL, and they meet for the golden Super Bowl in Santa Clara, California.
Game Predictions
Lucas: Tough game between two very complete teams. Even with Denver's defense being the best in the NFL this year, I can't shake the feeling that Carolina will be able to score on them a little bit. Mainly, I think Peyton will end up throwing at least one pick (probably pick-six to Keuchly because of course he will) and that will help set up Carolina for a win. Panthers 26, Broncos 20.
Regular Season Records
Lucas: 117-139 (4th in COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em)
Adam: 126-130 (1st in COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em)
Prop Bets
Now is where the fun comes in. Adam and I are going through Bovada's website to find our money lines for these bets. Since I am poor/gambling is technically illegal, we aren't betting actual money. Instead, we're going by a point system as explained above. I'll tally up the points we're betting for and go back to look again after the Super Bowl is completed to see who wins.
________________________________________________
How long will it take Lady Gaga to sing the US National Anthem? (+/- 2:20)
Lucas: Over (+150).
Adam: Under (-200).
What will the result of the coin toss be? (Heads/Tails)
Lucas: Heads (-105).
Adam: Heads (-105).
Which coach will be mentioned by name first after the opening kickoff?
Lucas: Ron Rivera (-120).
Adam: Gary Kubiak (-120).
Will the announcers mention that Kubiak was Elway's backup during the broadcast?
Lucas: Yes (-200).
Adam: Yes (-200).
Will Mike Carey be wrong about a challenge?
Lucas: Yes (+125).
Adam: Yes (+125).
Will the Panthers player who scores the first touchdown give the ball to a boy or a girl?
Lucas: Girl (+150).
Adam: Girl (+150).
How many times will Cam Newton do the Open Shirt Superman during the game? (+/- 2.5)
Lucas: Under (-300).
Adam: Under (-300).
Will Peyton Manning be seen crying at any point during the broadcast?
Lucas: Yes (+500).
Adam: No (-1000)
Which song will Coldplay play first during the Halftime show? (Adventure of a Lifetime, Viva la Vida, A Sky Full of Stars, Fix You, Clocks, Head Full of Dreams, Speed of Sound, Paradise)
Lucas: Paradise (+1000).
Adam: Speed of Sound (+900).
Will Peyton Manning announce his retirement during the postgame interview?
Lucas: No (-1000).
Adam: No (-1000).
What color will the liquid be that is poured on the winning coach?
Lucas: Red (+1000).
Adam: Yellow (+600).
Lucas: 1100 points bet to win 3196.90 points.
Adam: 1100 points bet to win 2106.90 points.
________________________________________________
Who will score the first touchdown?
Lucas: Ronnie Hillman (+1800).
Adam: Mike Tolbert (+1800).
How long will the longest touchdown of the game be? (+/- 44.5 yards)
Lucas: Under (-115).
Adam: Over (-115)
Who will throw more touchdown passes: Newton or Manning?
Lucas: Manning (+135).
Adam: Manning (+135)
Who will throw for more passing yards: Newton or Manning?
Lucas: Newton (-115).
Adam: Newton (-115).
Who will throw the first touchdown: Newton or Manning?
Lucas: Newton (-155).
Adam: Manning (+125).
Who will throw the first interception: Newton or Manning?
Lucas: Manning (-160).
Adam: Manning (-160).
Who will record the most rushing yards in the game? (Jonathan Stewart, C.J. Anderson, Cam Newton, Ronnie Hillman, Mike Tolbert)
Lucas: Newton (+500).
Adam: Hillman (+700).
Who will record the most receiving yards in the game?
Lucas: Emmanuel Sanders (+325).
Adam: Ted Ginn, Jr. (+500).
Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored?
Lucas: Yes (+140).
Adam: No. (-170).
How many sacks will both teams record in the game?
Lucas: 3 (+550).
Adam: 5 (+300).
Lucas: 1000 points bet to win 3750.94 points.
Adam: 1000 points bet to win 3855.24 points.
________________________________________________
Who will be the MVP of Super Bowl 50?
Lucas: Luke Kuechly (+1200).
Adam: Peyton Manning (+290)
Who will the Super Bowl MVP mention first? (Team, God, City/Fans, Coach, Family, None of the above)
Lucas: Team (+200).
Adam: Team (+200).
Lucas: 200 points bet to win 1400 points.
Adam: 200 points bet to win 490 points.
Points on the Line
Lucas: 2300 points bet to win 8347.84 points.
Adam: 2300 points bet to win 6452.14 points.
No comments:
Post a Comment