Adam had a good week, though not to the same degree he's had in previous odd weeks. We also had a much more balanced week in terms of dissenting games; I took three of the five games we disagreed on.
We also had some fluky things happen. If you look at the standings, which includes the scores for each week, I beat Adam out by two points. There was a discrepancy in one of Adam's picks. In the post for Week 5, Adam is on record as picking Pittsburgh (-6.5) over Jacksonville, but on ESPN he had the Jaguars (I guess he changed his mind and forgot to change it there). I'll give him the point for the week, so Adam is actually at 37 for the season so far. He's not the first to mess this up (I did something like this in 2012), and he probably won't be the last.
So in Week 6, Kansas City and New Orleans have byes, so there are 15 games again. There are a lot more home underdogs this week as well, so we see an evening out compared to last week. Adam and I disagree on 6 games, so my lead isn't necessarily safe. Let's get to the picks.
Thursday Night
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (+2.5)
Lucas: Colts. JJ Watt is a freak, but unless he can get to Luck well ahead of the pace Luck has been sacked this year (six times in five games), this could turn into a blowout.
Adam: Colts. Back to lines that do not make any sense to me - but heck, I went 2 of 13 one week so what do I know - I would have put this at about +5.5. Anyway, Luck will keep up his pace and beat up on the Texans…as long Indy can keep 1.21 J.J. Watts in check.
Sunday, Early Afternoon
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (+3.5)
Lucas: Bills. As much as Darth Hoodie and Tom Brady looked great this past week to make doubters (like me) look stupid, in Buffalo? Following the unanimous vote to approve the new owners who are keeping them in Buffalo? I'm not betting against goodwill.
Adam note: Nailed the prediction last week with Manning, to date I am 3.5-1.5.
Carolina Panthers @ Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)
Lucas: Bengals. Carolina got the benefit of "Lol Bears offense" last week. In Cincy, where the Bengals haven't lost a regular season home game in a while... probably no such luck.
Adam: Panthers. While I think Cincy will be looking for a comeback win after being spanked Sunday night by the Pats. The Panthers on the other hand look like they have found their stride. Bengals win, but only by a field goal.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (-1.5)
Lucas: Browns. The Steelers only beat the freaking Jaguars by eight. Granted, Cleveland needed a massive second-half comeback against the Titans, but still.
Adam: Steelers. Though I must say the Browns have been very impressive so far this season, I just cannot support them yet. Maybe when Johnny Football and Smoke-a-Dope Gordon are able to hook up after week 10.
Denver Broncos @ New York Jets (+8.5)
Lucas: Broncos. Geno, at my job I have to transition between Central time and Pacific time multiple times on a daily basis. You should be able to attend a meeting at the proper time despite a three-hour time change. Also, bold prediction so Adam doesn't get the monopoly on these: Peyton breaks Favre's touchdown record this week.
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (+1.5)
Lucas: Lions. I know the Lions signed Matt Prater, but is it too late to try out for Lions kicker? I played soccer... like... as recently as eighth grade...
Adam: Lions. I know the Lions have some running back injuries to deal with, but Stafford and Megatron should be back to their old from this week. Not an official prediction, but look for them to hook up early and often.
Lucas note: You do know Megatron has that bum ankle, right?
Green Bay Packers @ Miami Dolphins (+3.5)
Lucas: Packers. Part of it is bias that I keep picking Green Bay. Part of it is also that suddenly, their offense is clicking, and I wouldn't want to be Miami's defense on Sunday.
Adam: Packers… God I hate myself…
Adam note: The Packers still suck but the Fins are worse.
Lucas note: Lest we forget...
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans (-6.5)
Lucas: Titans. I had to think about this one, but I'm sticking with "Don't bet on Jacksonville" for now.
Adam: Jaguars. Only because the Titans let me down last week giving up a late score to the Browns costing me the point. The Jags eventually have to do something good, and also the Titans are having QB injuries and still refuse to unleash the beast that is Sankey.
Baltimore Ravens @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5)
Lucas: Ravens. Baltimore is looking better. Sometimes, playing a crappy team helps.
Adam: Buccaneers. The Bucs are at home and Lovie is in the 2nd quarter of the 2nd quarter of the season…
Lucas note: ...We like our team, Mike is our quarterback, we have a lot of football left to play.
Lucas note: Adam asked for video regarding his pick. Really, for those of you who were unfamiliar with Lovie's time in Chicago, he had a tendency to break the season up into quarters. After my time interning for ESPN 1000 and cutting God knows how many Lovie Smith pressers, I became able to do a good Lovie impersonation. Those couple sentences Adam and I wrote pretty much sums up every Lovie Smith press conference ever.
Sunday, Late Afternoon
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders (+7.5)
Lucas: Chargers. Idea: Loser has to move to Los Angeles. Then, rhetorical question: If you move a crappy team to LA, where no one gives a crap about pro football... do the Raiders still suck?
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons (-3.5)
Lucas: Falcons. If you think Devin Hester isn't returning at least one punt for a touchdown this week, you're crazy. The man is still ridiculous.
Adam note: The Bears are still the best team in football, way better than the Packers and Aaron F###### Rodgers.
Lucas note:
Dallas Cowboys @ Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)
Lucas: Seahawks. Thought about it, given the fact that Dallas is somehow 4-1, but I'm sticking by one of the most important rules: Don't bet against Seattle at home.
Adam: Cowboys. This is a tough one. If Dallas can get ahead early through the air, then Murray can pound it on the ground. That is the only way I see Dallas having a chance to win, but I think they keep it close and cover regardless.
Washington Redskins @ Arizona Cardinals (-3.5)
Lucas: Cardinals. Losing on the road to arguably the best team in the AFC? All right. Give them a terrible team at home to rebound with? Count me in.
Adam: Cardinals. I think Palmer may be back this week. If that happens, there is no question what happens. Even if Palmer does not play, this line is low enough that Cardinals still cover.
Sunday Night
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)
Lucas: Giants. All right, I've seen enough. Count me in on the G-Men.
Adam: Giants. Manning, Manning, Manning… we are not worthy… 6TDs vs 1 INT the last 2 weeks… most would have thought that line would have been the opposite.
Monday Night
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams (+3.5)
Lucas: 49ers. Some of the flak Harbaugh gets isn't entirely fair. Fantastic coach, no doubt. Maybe this week will quiet some of the talk about him leaving.
Adam: 49ers. I get that it is a home game for STL and usually they get 3 points for being at home, and St. Louis has played well, but come on, 3.5…
Records So Far
Lucas: 41-33 (9-4 last week)
Adam: 37-37 (8-5 last week)
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