Monday, October 4, 2021

2021 NCAA Playoff Points: Week 5

I missed the NCSS post this past week in what was a pretty chaotic week of work, but those numbers are updated on the sheet following Week 5's action. We'll follow up with a Week 6 post later. For now, let's look at a fun Week 5 of collegiate action.

One thing I realized I forgot last week was to update loss totals for FCS teams that were victorious. Those numbers are updated now as well.

So without further ado, let's go to the numbers.

American Athletic
Wins: 2.55 (7th)
PP1: 3.09 (8th)
PP2: 1.30 (7th)
aPP: 0.45 (6th)

ACC
Wins: 3.07 (4th)
PP1: 4.79 (4th)
PP2: 2.51 (1st)
aPP: 1.79 (4th)

Big Ten
Wins: 3.36 (2nd)
PP1: 6.36 (2nd)
PP2: 2.50 (2nd)
aPP: 4.64 (2nd)

Big 12
Wins: 3.30 (3rd)
PP1: 5.40 (3rd)
PP2: 1.89 (4th)
aPP: 4.30 (3rd)

Conference USA
Wins: 2.21 (10th)
PP1: 1.86 (11th)
PP2: 0.44 (11th)
aPP: -2.43 (11th)

Independents
Wins: 2.57 (6th)
PP1: 4.00 (6th)
PP2: 1.13 (8th)
aPP: -0.43 (8th)

MAC
Wins: 2.25 (9th)
PP1: 2.58 (10th)
PP2: 1.04 (9th)
aPP: -1.67 (10th)

Mountain West
Wins: 2.75 (5th)
PP1: 3.83 (7th)
PP2: 1.74 (6th)
aPP: 1.00 (5th)

Pac 12
Wins: 2.42 (8th)
PP1: 4.08 (5th)
PP2: 1.81 (5th)
aPP: 0.25 (7th)

SEC
Wins: 3.43 (1st)
PP1: 6.57 (1st)
PP2: 2.47 (3rd)
aPP: 5.29 (1st)

Sun Belt
Wins: 2.20 (11th)
PP1: 2.80 (9th)
PP2: 1.01 (10th)
aPP: -0.80 (9th)

To see the updated numbers, click here.

We've got a pretty clearly delineated Big Three in terms of conferences. The SEC is tops in three of four categories, and just four-hundredths of a point behind in the fourth category. The Big Ten and Big 12 are not too far behind the SEC on the whole. We'll see as conference play really picks up how much this ends up changing.

Team-wise, Georgia has surged ahead to take the lead in both PP1 and aPP with 15 points, leapfrogging Michigan, with 13. Texas and Iowa are right behind them with 12 (though the Longhorns have only 11 aPP due to an earlier season loss.) On the Second Degree side, UCLA has 6.33 PP2 to lead the nation. There's a six-way tie for second with 5.00 points, including Georgia, Michigan, and one of the big winners from the weekend in Stanford.

Either today or tomorrow I'll follow up with Week 6 NCSS numbers, and then following the weekend we'll be back with updated Playoff Points figures!

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