2013 FBS Rankings: Week 15

Other than the annual Army-Navy game, this is it for the big time college football regular season. Most teams are done, but a handful are playing their 13th games. Heck, a couple have already played 13 games and it's throwing me off. Either way, by about midnight on Sunday, we will know who won each conference and thus earned an automatic bid to the unfortunately simulated Death to the BCS Playoffs. But for this final post analyzing schedules, I figured I'd unveil my overall rankings. It only seems fair that everyone get to see what the NCSS numbers actually look like for everyone.

Before we get into that though, I was planning on sharing the final conference rankings with updates from this week, but every game on this week's slate is in conference, so there will be no changes. What I did do is for this week, put the Army-Navy game in so that I could go ahead and run the numbers here. Since neither team is in the running for the playoffs, I don't have to worry about the implications of those games. If you want to see what ultimately became the final conference rankings, check last week's post here.

Instead today after the jump, I'll have the full, final NCSS rankings for each FBS team. As a refresher, NCSS ignores record, instead focusing on whether the teams on the non-conference schedule are in a "power conference" or not, with a bonus for playing on the road. Teams are also penalized for facing FCS competition.

Full disclosure: This should be obvious, but independents will have the highest NCSS scores since none of their games are played in conference. The Sun Belt, being an 8-team conference will also have inflated scores while the Big 12 and Pac-12 might have slightly lower scores since they only play three games outside their respective conferences.

1. Notre Dame (IND)- 26
2. Idaho (IND)- 23
3. BYU (IND)- 22
4. Navy (IND)- 19
4. New Mexico State (IND)- 19
6. Army (IND)- 16
7. Florida Atlantic (C-USA)- 10
8. East Carolina (C-USA)- 9
8. Rice (C-USA)- 9
8. Southern Mississippi (C-USA)- 9
8. UTSA (C-USA)- 9
8. Arkansas State (SB)- 9
8. Louisiana-Monroe (SB)- 9
8. Troy (SB)- 9
15. Central Florida (AAC)- 8
15. Tulsa (C-USA)- 8
15. UTEP (C-USA)- 8
15. Miami-Ohio (MAC)- 8
15. Western Michigan (MAC)- 8
15. Hawaii (MWC)- 8
15. Utah State (MWC)- 8
15. Louisiana-Lafayette (SB)- 8
23. Southern Methodist (AAC)- 7
23. Maryland (ACC)- 7
23. Florida International (C-USA)- 7
23. North Texas (C-USA)- 7
23. UAB (C-USA)- 7
23. Buffalo (MAC)- 7
23. Central Michigan (MAC)- 7
23. Eastern Michigan (MAC)- 7
23. Kent State (MAC)- 7
23. Massachusetts (MAC)- 7
23. Northern Illinois (MAC)- 7
23. New Mexico (MWC)- 7
23. Wyoming (MWC)- 7
23. Southern California (Pac-12)- 7
23. Texas State (SB)- 7
23. Western Kentucky (SB)- 7
39. Cincinnati (AAC)- 6
39. Miami-Florida (ACC)- 6
39. North Carolina (ACC)- 6
39. Michigan (B1G)- 6
39. Louisiana Tech (C-USA)- 6
39. Middle Tennessee (C-USA)- 6
39. Old Dominion (IND)- 6
39. Akron (MAC)- 6
39. Bowling Green (MAC)- 6
39. Toledo (MAC)- 6
39. Colorado State (MWC)- 6
39. Nevada (MWC)- 6
39. San Diego State (MWC)- 6
39. San Jose State (MWC)- 6
39. Georgia (SEC)- 6
39. South Carolina (SEC)- 6
39. South Alabama (SB)- 6
56. Connecticut (AAC)- 5
56. South Carolina (AAC)- 5
56. Boston College (ACC)- 5
56. Pittsburgh (ACC)- 5
56. Syracuse (ACC)- 5
56. Wake Forest (ACC)- 5
56. Texas (Big 12)- 5
56. Nebraska (B1G)- 5
56. Northwestern (B1G)- 5
56. Penn State (B1G)- 5
56. Marshall (C-USA)- 5
56. Tulane (C-USA)- 5
56. Ball State (MAC)- 5
56. Boise State (MWC)- 5
56. UNLV (MWC)- 5
56. UCLA (Pac-12)- 5
56. Florida (SEC)- 5
73. Louisville (AAC)- 4
73. Memphis (AAC)- 4
73. Rutgers (AAC)- 4
73. Temple (AAC)- 4
73. Duke (ACC)- 4
73. Florida State (ACC)- 4
73. Virginia Tech (ACC)- 4
73. Oklahoma (Big 12)- 4
73. Illinois (B1G)- 4
73. Iowa (B1G)- 4
73. Michigan State (B1G)- 4
73. Ohio State (B1G)- 4
73. Purdue (B1G)- 4
73. Wisconsin (B1G)- 4
73. Oregon (Pac-12)- 4
73. Stanford (Pac-12)- 4
73. Arkansas (SEC)- 4
73. Missouri (SEC)- 4
73. Ole Miss (SEC)- 4
73. Tennessee (SEC)- 4
73. Vanderbilt (SEC)- 4
93. Houston (AAC)- 3
93. Clemson (ACC)- 3
93. Virginia (ACC)- 3
93. Iowa State (Big 12)- 3
93. Oklahoma State (Big 12)- 3
93. Texas Christian (Big 12)- 3
93. Texas Tech (Big 12)- 3
93. West Virginia (Big 12)- 3
93. Indiana (B1G)- 3
93. Minnesota (B1G)- 3
93. Ohio (MAC)- 3
93. Air Force (MWC)- 3
93. Fresno State (MWC)- 3
93. California (Pac-12)- 3
93. Washington (Pac-12)- 3
93. Washington State (Pac-12)- 3
93. Alabama (SEC)- 3
93. Auburn (SEC)- 3
93. Kentucky (SEC)- 3
93. LSU (SEC)- 3
93. Mississippi State (SEC)- 3
93. Texas A&M (SEC)- 3
93. Georgia State (SB)- 3
116. Georgia Tech (ACC)- 2
116. North Carolina State (ACC)- 2
116. Kansas (Big 12)- 2
116. Arizona (Pac-12)- 2
116. Arizona State (Pac-12)- 2
116. Oregon State (Pac-12)- 2
116. Utah (Pac-12)- 2
123. Baylor (Big 12)-1
123. Kansas State (Big 12)- 1
125. Colorado (Pac-12)- 0

Obviously, these numbers aren't perfect, but it's a formula that can help me see how well teams are scheduling. It does skew in favor of independents and smaller conferences (I know Conference USA had a ton near the top, but I didn't expect that many), and while some of that is due to faults mentioned above, scheduling done by a lot of the big conference schools isn't as strong as they'd lead you to believe. They schedule a lot of home dates against mid-majors but not as home-and-homes, which would help balance some of these numbers out.

Also, Colorado's numbers would be a little higher, but they had to postpone their contest with Fresno State and since they couldn't reschedule, they added Charleston Southern to the slate. Not entirely their fault.

Coming up on Thursday I'll have Week 14 NFL picks, and then following this Saturday's slate of games all the automatic bids will be spoken for and I'll try to sort through the teams that should earn at large bids, then seed them all. Should be fun.