I dug back through the archives, and I went back far. In Week 12 in 2018, I went 13-2 against the spread. For nearly seven years, that record has stood as the best single week mark in contest history.
I bring this up because, while I took four of seven disputed games from Joe, Adam swept his disputed games with both of us last week. This is not unheard of; we've had sweeps pop up from time to time in this contest. But were it not for Kaleb Johnson (my finger pointing) and "A A Ron" (Adam's) among others... Adam would have had the first perfect week in this column's history. Instead, he'll have to settle for the mark being at 15-1.
Needless to say, his historic performance has him catapulted into first place in the group, with me just three off his pace and seven games separating the entire group.
You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. It's a pretty small sample size of hero picks through two weeks, but we're picking at around our usual clip in those games. We're also in good shape on consensus picks through two weeks (with, again, that Seahawks-Steelers game being the only thing that stood between Adam and immortality).
And so as Adam attempts to follow up on the heater to end all heaters, he disagrees with Joe and I on six games, while Joe and I dispute four of the 16. Let's get to it!
Thursday Night
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (-12.5)
Lucas: Bills. Someone done a wellness check on Felipe Carvalho? Because this feels like a good time to pull out a deep cut.
Sunday, Early Afternoon
Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns (+7.5)
Lucas: Packers. Line partially makes me leery, but given that Green Bay's defense has held the Lions and Commanders in check through two weeks, I can only imagine the havoc they'll wreak on Cleveland...
Adam: Packers. I hate saying it, but Green Bay has looked really good and with the addition of the Jerra mistake Parsons, the D is even better. The Browns seems like a mess, so while I don’t like the 7.5 (wish it was 6.5), I’ll still ride with it.
Joe: Packers.
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans (+3.5)
Lucas: Colts. Because Cam Ward needs more of a supporting cast around him, and also because you clearly can't bet against Indiana Jones.
Joe: Colts.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings (-2.5)
Lucas: Bengals. Not sure if this game counts as an Injury Bowl with both Burrow and McCarthy out. That's all right, we can work with this.
Adam: Vikings. But who has the better backup?*checks notes* Yeah Wentz, I’ll take that over Browning any day. And hey, maybe we get some glam shots of his girlfriend again. Who remembers? Pepperidge Farm does.
Joe: Vikings.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots (-1.5)
Lucas: Steelers. Yes, even though they screwed up Adam's shot at history. The 9-8 Super Bowl must be maintained.
Adam: Steelers. My only stain from last week needs to be avenged. Bring out the Bee Suits.
Lucas note:
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5)
Lucas: Eagles.
Adam: Eagles. Curious line. Is there an injury I am missing? Seems like a softball, Eagles by 10.Packers got so much shit all offseason for submitting a proposal to end the Tush Push and now 30 other fanbases want it banned too lol.
— Johnny barks (@Johnny_Barks) September 17, 2025
Lucas note: Not that I can tell?
New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. The Jets are back to irrelevancy and Baker's looked good through two weeks. This continues.
Adam: Buccaneers. Shocker, Fields is out in concussion protocol. We will get team Ram Rod Tyrod Taylor it looks like, but still, Bucs and Baker at home...
Joe: Buccaneers.
Las Vegas Raiders @ Washington Commanders (-2.5)
Lucas: Commanders. Though I almost went the other way. Get well soon, Jayden.
Adam: Commanders. I wonder how many production meetings Brady will be in before teams stop talking to him... it won’t matter in this game anyway. While the Raiders didn’t look as bad as I expected on MNF, they did not look great either.
Joe: Commanders.
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (+5.5)
Lucas: Falcons.
Crazy.
byu/OddHope8408 innfcsouthmemewar
Adam: Panthers. I think Carolina is getting a little shade for just how bad they have been. They came back late last week to make it interesting against the Cards, so I like a surprise here with the Panthers at least covering, maybe a last minute back door W.
Joe: Falcons.
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5)
Lucas: Jaguars. Maybe not today, but CJ Stroud might end up like David Carr.
Adam: Jaguars. Texans without Mixon... boo. So I’ll take Sunshine riding into the night.
Joe: Texans.
Sunday, Late Afternoon
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5)
Lucas: Chargers. Less a carryover from the heartbreaking loss last week and more the fact that the Chargers might be for real.
Adam: Chargers. Here is what should be a good game. I’ll favor the home team with a Keenan Allen that looks a little revitalized even in his old age.
Joe: Chargers.
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)
Lucas: Saints. Purely a points pick, especially since the Saints haven't looked godawful so far.
Adam: Seahawks. When I think of the Saints, all I can think of is a marching band that sounds great for the first few notes and then everything just goes off the rails and womp womp. Like I have said before this week, 7.5 I don’t love; would have preferred 6.5 but I’ll still ride it.
Joe: Seahawks.
Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears (-1.5)
Lucas: Cowboys. Lol. Lmao, even. Let's check in on Silvy.
— Silvy (@WaddleandSilvy) September 14, 2025Adam:
Joe: Cowboys.
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-1.5)
Lucas: Cardinals. Continuing the solidarity pick trend even though I won't be in attendance at Benedetti-Wehrli this weekend. That's fine, (NCC) Cardinals by a ton.
Adam: Cardinals. Niners are just missing too many pieces it seems. Arizona played a tight one last week vs the Panthers, who I think are sneaky better than they are getting. But I like Murray to come in and sling it.
Joe: 49ers.
Sunday Night
Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Giants (+5.5)
Lucas: Chiefs. I'm not going to overreact to KC starting off 0-2. They have two losses to two good teams and both were by one score. They'll right the ship in primetime.
Adam: Giants. Call this a gut pick, call this an overreaction to the G-Men playing a meh Dallas D and the Chiefs seeming like they are on the decline. But “Giants Country, we're Jolly Green men.”
Lucas note: Let's keep workshopping this until Russ stops with the ridiculous arm punts.
Joe: Chiefs.
Monday Night
Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
Lucas: Lions. Look, I've seen enough Ravens games the last few years, I know how this is going to go. Lamar and the Euphoric Violet Gazelle are going to feast early, then John Harbaugh will turtle too soon and the Lions will, at minimum, make a game out of it; very likely the Ravens will blow this completely winnable game. Give me the points.
Adam: Ravens. The game of the week on Monday Night; this will be exciting. But even after the lambasting Detroit gave the Bears last week, I got the Ravens rolling easy in this game by-don’t look now- 14.
Joe: Lions.
Records So Far
Lucas: 19-13 (10-6 last week)
Adam: 22-10 (15-1 last week)
Joe: 17-15 (9-7 last week)
Geoffrey: 17-15 (8-8 last week)
Jim: 19-13 (9-7 last week)
Tom: 16-16 (9-7 last week)
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