2019 MLB Tournament of Champions: Group Finals

I'm breaking from football again for a little bit because the 2019 MLB Tournament of Champions is still rolling on!

We've managed to narrow the field down to 16 teams from the original 128, including every World Series champion. It's a little amazing when in other sports that I've done Tournaments of Champions for it's all more modern teams, while here, half the remaining field is from before Jackie Robinson broke the color barrier. Our two highest seeds from group play, as well as our defending Champion of Champions from 2017 are all still in contention.

So today I'm going through the third round, which is the last set of series that will be played within the confines of the groups I set up at the beginning of the tournament. It's also the final round of a best-of-five. Home field advantage goes to the higher seed based on group finish in a 2-2-1 format. This is only a factor for three teams and thus three series, but any home games for American Leagues from 1973 onward are played with a designated hitter; all other games have the pitcher batting ninth.

You can view the bracket so far, as well as go back to see how group play went, here. All simulations are provided by WhatIfSports.com. Let's set up the Elite Eight!

2019 MLB Preview: NL West

I know technically, the Major League season started last week when the Mariners and A's played a couple games over in Japan. But two games out of 162 isn't enough for me to have justified running this feature early.

In what has become an annual tradition, one of the ones where I make an idiot out of myself, I run through all six MLB divisions and make my predictions for the season. Last year I condensed the posts to a span of three days, but I continued the pattern of going across the country and alternating leagues, ending with the defending champion's division.

With that in mind, we'll kick things off out west in the National League.

2018 NFC East Preview

Rejoice, COAS readers: tomorrow the NFL is back!

That means I need to wrap up my preview series today. For the past couple weeks I've gone division by division around the country making my picks for the upcoming year. Yesterday I wrapped up the AFC (you can view my full playoff picks here), and so today I need to finish up the league and NFC.

But before I do that, one final time I'm looking to make a shameless plug with the annual COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em contest. You can join the group through that link to see how much better at picking NFL games against the spread you are than I am, while I renew my rivalry with Adam Quinn in our weekly column. The first edition of the season comes out tomorrow, and I'm really looking forward to getting back to it.

But until then, here's a look at the NFC East.

2017 NFC East Preview

We've finally circled around geographically. We're in the east today, with just two divisions left to preview.

One NFC wild card remains up for grabs, which means an NFC East team will be going into January with one, at least the way I see the season going. Of course, the season rarely goes fully the way I see it going.

That doesn't stop me from prognosticating, which is something I'll be doing again every week with Adam Quinn as we pick games against the spread. You can join us in our quest here.

And with that, let's look at our penultimate division.

2017 NFL Wild Card Preview

For some reason, I've been getting a ton of hits lately on my 2015 Wild Card post. I guess I hit the sweet spot on SEO-related stuff without even meaning to, because most of those hits have come in the past few months. Whatever the case, we're onto the playoffs for the 2016 season, and I need to get a new post up.

In years past, I have also done an awards post, but I opted to skip that this year given the timing of everything and my lack of really paying super close attention to the NFL this year (contrary to my finally getting a winning record in the Pigskin Pick 'Em this season). But this is something I can't pass up.

12 teams have survived the past four months, and it's time to take a look at the road to Houston for Super Bowl LI.

2016 NFC East Preview

We're onto Day 3 of our NFL previews as I work to get all 32 NFL teams pegged out for the upcoming season.

I'm done in the North divisions and am working my way clockwise around the country alternating conferences to get to eight. Today, I'm onto the NFC East.

Before I do that, once again this season I'm picking NFL games against the spread. I will be joined by defending champion Adam Quinn for our third year of weekly posts with our picks. If you want to try and beat us, you can join our ESPN Pigskin Pick 'Em Group.

Let's take a look at the previews.

2015 NFC East Preview

A week from today, we will be celebrating the full-on return of the NFL with 13 games over the course of the day. Until then, we still have a couple more previews to do.

We're down to just the eastern divisions remaining over the next couple days. Meanwhile, if you want to see some more in-depth previews for the NFL, my colleagues over at UKEndZone are doing a fantastic job getting you ready for the 2015 campaign. If you want to try to play expert and pick some NFL results, Adam Quinn is back to join me in a weekly post picking NFL games, and you can compete against us as well as my dad and Grabbing the Bull Horns blogger/defending champion in our ESPN Pigskin Pick 'Em Group.

Let's get to work on today's preview.

NFC East

Common opponents on schedule: NFC South, AFC East

1. Philadelphia Eagles
2014: 10-6 (2nd), missed playoffs
This past offseason was a crazy one in Philly, with Chip Kelly assuming roster construction duties and proceeding to turn the Eagles into some sort of Oregon East and upheaving the roster (while Shady McCoy stupidly played the race card out of bitterness for getting moved, never mind the fact that DeMarco Murray was the guy who replaced him). They also traded for Sam Bradford at quarterback, which might help given that a change of scenery might not hurt him, but odds are something else will. There's enough talent in the backfield, though I'm not sold on the receiving corps just because of Kelly's retooling of it all. I'm not 100 percent sure what to make of the defense, but I think there are enough pieces here to make it work, plus Bradley Fletcher is no longer in the secondary to get torched repeatedly.
2015 Prediction: 10-6

2. New York Giants
2014: 6-10 (3rd), missed playoffs
I tinkered around with this one, originally not having a lot of faith in the Giants, but I have to believe Eli Manning will be better in 2015 than he was in 2014, especially with a full year of Odell Beckham, Jr. They also have James Jones to play a complementary role, and with an experienced, competent quarterback throwing him the ball he'll be okay. I like their running game as well. Defensively, they have a good secondary with Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Prince Amukamura manning the corners, but the big question mark is the defensive line. They've constantly reloaded it in the past few years, leading to their two Super Bowls, but I just don't think there's enough there this year to allow for another one. They'll be right in the mix though.
2015 Prediction: 9-7

3. Dallas Cowboys
2014: 12-4 (1st), lost in NFC Divisional Game
After years of being in NFL purgatory, the Cowboys finally had a great run to the playoffs, getting by the wuss Jim Caldwell's Lions only to drop a heartbreaker to the Packers at Lambeau (good times). Their offense will be pretty good again with Romo, Bryant and Witten, their offensive line is superb, but the question mark will be the running game. DeMarco Murray left for Philly in the offseason, and Dallas is relying on Darren McFadden to be the new #1, though we'll definitely see more of Lance Dunbar and Joseph Randle this year. It won't be anywhere near the same though. The Cowboys' strong run game in 2014 helped mask a fairly weak defense, one that is okay this year but will be without corner Orlando Scandrick due to a knee injury. The Cowboys will be okay this year... but it's not a playoff year. Back to purgatory they go.
2015 Prediction: 8-8

4. Washington Redskins
2014: 4-12 (4th), missed playoffs
I don't even know where to start here. The Redskins have been a mess recently, with Kirk Cousins being named the starter for 2015 over RG3. Cousins will have some weapons, with Desean Jackson and Pierre Garcon to throw to while Alfred Morris is a decent back. I do not trust this defense however, other than maybe the mandatory four pick game from Deangelo Hall against the Bears for old time's sake. There's just too much dysfunction in Landover, Maryland for my taste. It'll be a long year here.
2015 Prediction: 4-12

Since I've done all the NFC teams now, here's my predicted playoff picture from the conference:

1. Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
2. Green Bay Packers (11-5)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)
4. Carolina Panthers (9-7)
5. Arizona Cardinals (10-6)
6. New Orleans Saints (9-7)

We have just one division remaining: the AFC East. I'll be back with that tomorrow. Enjoy the rest of your Labor Day weekend!

2015 MLB Preview: NL West

One more day! We're almost there, baseball fans!

Over the past five days, I've taken a look at the entirety of Major League Baseball save the NL West. Today, we finish off with them since they house the defending World Series Champions.

To a degree, I goofed with these guys last year, but it also housed my biggest prediction success since predicting the score of Super Bowl XLIII. If you want to look at last year's predictions, you can view them here.

Let's get to the final batch of predictions.

NFC East Preview

We're just a week away now! The NFL season is on the horizon, and I have five more divisions to get to. Today I'm switching back over to the NFC but staying out on the East Coast... you know, other than Dallas.

With a week to go, there is still time to get in on the COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em contest. Follow the provided link to go to the group page and sign up. It's free to play, and you have an opportunity to make me look like a complete idiot. Everyone wins.

With that out of the way, let's take a look at how the NFC East might unfold.

Common opponents on schedule: NFC West, AFC South

1. Philadelphia Eagles
2013: 10-6 (1st), lost in NFC Wild Card Round
Not the easiest schedule in the world for second year coach Chip Kelly. He has the first place teams in the NFC plus the NFC West. Even with that, there's no reason to think this offense still can't blur their way down the field. They were a top-10 passing team and the top rushing attack in 2013. Those numbers will probably drop a bit with Desean Jackson departed for Washington. Shady McCoy will still probably put up huge numbers though. The biggest problem though remains in that this defense couldn't stop a nosebleed last year. They'll have to rely on winning shootouts. Fortunately for them, that's something they can do.
2014 Prediction: 10-6

2. Dallas Cowboys
2013: 8-8 (2nd), missed playoffs
So, other than Jerry Jones turning into Uncle Creepy... this was more of the same old, same old from Arlington. The cap situation is a mess, the team itself is a mess... and yet somehow, despite my grandfather-in-law's lack of faith in this team (he lives in the Dallas area), they'll be in position to make the playoffs in the final week before blowing it in unbelievable fashion. Tony Romo will continue to put up numbers, especially as long as Jason Witten and Dez Bryant are healthy. Problem is, this defense... oh boy. We might see a lot of games like last year's shootout with Denver.
2014 Prediction: 8-8

3. Washington Redskins
2013: 3-13 (4th), missed playoffs
With the benefit of a (hopefully) healthy RG3 and a last place schedule, the Redskins should be on the way back up this season. Having Desean Jackson defect helps a lot too. Offensively, between the passing game and the Alfred Morris/Roy Helu running back tandem, they'll be fine. It's the defense that's concerning, much like the rest of the division. Picking up Ryan Clark is a pretty good addition to a secondary that will need the help, given Brandon Meriweather is being a thug again. As long as Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan get a decent pass rush, the Skins can be in contention again this year.
2014 Prediction: 7-9

4. New York Giants
2013: 7-9 (3rd), missed playoffs
The G-Men had an off year last year, especially Eli. I doubt he'll have an 18/27 touchdown to pick ration again. It'll be interesting to see though if Rueben Randle can become a competent #2 receiver across from Victor Cruz though. I really don't know what to expect on the ground though; Rashad Jennings was okay as part of a tandem last year, but who backs him up? On defense, getting Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie helps shore up the secondary, but can the Giants get the pass rush they've gotten during their two recent Super Bowl runs? If not, it could be a long year in the Meadowlands.
2014 Prediction: 7-9

And with that, we're at the halfway mark. And so far, no wild cards have shown up. You can check back tomorrow to see if one is present in the AFC North.

The Unofficial National Holiday

The biggest single day of sports is the first Sunday in February every year. For a weekend stretch of sports, nothing beats the opening rounds of the NCAA tournament, but the Super Bowl in and of itself is the biggest game all year.

I've put off thoughts about the game to come until just about the last possible minute. If you go by my original prediction, I only got 3 of 11 winners right. On a week by week basis I did much better; I correctly picked 6 of the 10 games correctly. It only makes sense that I predict the Super Bowl.

I foresee this as an offensive battle of epic proportions between two elite quarterbacks. Tom Brady is finally back on the biggest stage where he has excelled throughout his career. He will be somewhat limited offensively with Gronkowski recovering from an ankle sprain, but he still has Welker and Hernandez. Meanwhile Eli Manning has vaulted himself into elite status (while not on the same plane as Brady, but still elite) by making his teammates better. He has excellent receivers in Nicks, Cruz, and Manningham.

The other reason this will be a shootout? The Giants defense is ranked 27th, the Patriots 31st. Personally, I hate those numbers as the main statistic when it comes to measuring defense, so based on scoring allowed, the Patriots were 15th (21.4 PPGA) and the Giants 25th (25 PPGA). Still not great, so it strengthens the argument that we're going to see a shootout.

The toughest part? Predicting the score. I scoured the archives of Facebook to try to find my prediction for Super Bowl XLIII, only to be shot down by lack of status updates from back that far. But I have friends who are witnesses to the fact that I correctly predicted Steelers 27, Cardinals 23 and who will gladly back me up in this claim if asked. (And I'm also pretty sure there's audio evidence from the WONC archives I could dig up too... but I digress.) I did it once, so there's no chance in hell that I'll ever correctly predict the score again. But that won't stop me from predicting.

It'll be a high scoring game, and turnovers/sacks will have an impact, but it also seems like whoever has the ball last will win the game. My official prediction is Giants 34, Patriots 28. I figure New England will score a lot and can come up with some big plays to hold the Giants to field goals, but Eli is deadly late in ball games. Then again, so is Brady, but this game just has a similar feel to Super Bowl XLII... you know, except this year it's the Patriots everyone is doubting, myself included.

Whatever your plans are for the big game, enjoy yourselves, have fun, and be safe. And start crafting proposals for Super Bowl Monday becoming a new national holiday. You know, because no one will want to do anything the day after the big game.