Thursday, October 27, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 8

The coalition is back at it once again as the calendar is about to flip to November and we start to approach the halfway point of the 2022 season!

This was a much better week on the whole for the coalition, partially because we hit on four of our five consensus picks for the week, and most of us did enough with the rest of the slate to put up respectable numbers. You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other for the season here, though it took me three or four tries to get these numbers right when I was updating following Week 7. Seems in line with our consensus numbers for the year to date, as the strong outing we all had could only do so much on that front.

Column-wise, I took three of four from Adam last week and split my four disputed with Joe, while Joe swept his two disputed games with Adam. I did just enough to stay in first place among the group, but only barely. I'm also including Adam's updated sheet with how we've picked home/road favorite/underdog games, as well as our daypart splits.

As we look ahead at the final October games on the schedule, Adam and I disagree on six games out of 15, Joe and I on four, and Joe and Adam on four. Let's get to it!

Thursday, October 20, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 7

The coalition returns as we are, week-wise anyway, a third of the way through the NFL season.

In our first week of byes it was a rough go for most of the group. Despite that, I took three of five disputed games from Adam to build on my lead, while taking three of four from Joe, and Adam took two of three from Joe.

The group is still largely sandwiched together, but we're all well under .500 thanks largely to a 7-17 mark in consensus games. We are a combined 21-12 in hero picks through seven weeks, though no one's really been able to pull away yet thanks to that. You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. Adam's sheet with a breakdown of picks based on home/road favorites/underdogs, as well as a breakdown by game time, can be found here.

Going into Week 7, Adam and I disagree on four games out of 14, Joe and I on four, and Joe and Adam on two. Let's get to it!

Thursday, October 13, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 6

The coalition is back at it for Week 6 of the NFL season!

By and large, we continue to be mostly bunched together, but we have a solo leader in the clubhouse through 80 games (it's me, I'm the solo leader in the clubhouse.) Last week I took four of six disputed games from Adam, swept the four disputed with Joe, and Adam took four of six from Joe. The result is me sitting a game up on the nearest people, though Adam is right with us just a couple games out of first.

You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. We've improved slightly on consensus picks, while hero games are still going strong at 20-10 combined through five weeks. Adam also went ahead and broke down how we've all done with regards to picking against the spread both at home and on the road, as well as our records by time slot.

So as we now look ahead at the coming week and its four byes, Adam and I disagree on five games out of 14, Joe and I on four, and Adam and Joe on three. Let's get to it!

Thursday, October 6, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 5

As we near the quarter pole of the 2022 NFL season, the coalition returns to work for Week 5!

It's been a rough go for most of us looking at overall records, but we're all pretty much bunched together through four weeks. Adam's Week 4 strategy of picking mostly home teams, then saying screw it and changing the few road teams he picked to home teams and embracing the gimmick worked all right as he took six of nine disputed games from me, splitting his ten with Joe, while Joe swept his three disputed with me. The result is a three-way tie in the column, with all of us sitting two games off the group lead.

You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. The big trend continues to be how bad we are when we all agree, as we've gone 4-10 on consensus picks. Hero picks have come back down to earth a little bit (mostly because of Adam), but we're still a combined 15-7 on hero picks, which is really good. I'm still pending the home/road and time slot breakdowns.

This week as we get set for another 16 game slate, Adam and I disagree on six games, Joe and I on four, and Adam and Joe on six. Let's get to it!

Thursday, September 29, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 4

The coalition is back at it again in the wake of the Great Reversal as we prepare for Week 4 of the NFL season!

I mention the Great Reversal again because it was a key talking point going into Week 3. But if the reversal happened... it hit my co-authors more so than it hit me.

While I had a nice bounceback week, it was Joe who shined in Week 3, as he took four of our seven disputed games and picked up a five game sweep of Adam, while I swept the four disputed games with Adam.

Adam's Great Reversal sees him drop into a tie with Joe, but they are only three games off the lead both in the column and in the group (bearing in mind that I screwed up a Week 2 pick and have one more win on ESPN than I should). You can also view how we've picked in relation to each other here. The big story through three weeks is that while we suck when we agree (a 3-7 mark in consensus games is... not great), anyone who's gone hero has seen a ton of early success (a combined 14-4 mark for those of us brave enough to do so).

Adam and I are also working on a new feature to add to the weekly column, as he went a little more in depth and was grabbing numbers by home/road and breaking that down further by favorites and underdogs. He also broke it down by game time, and I'm hoping to be able to have these numbers available as well.

As we look ahead to Week 4, Adam and I disagree on a whopping nine games (you'll see why), Joe and I on only three, and Joe and Adam on ten (again, you'll see why). Let's get to it!

Thursday, September 22, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 3

The coalition is back as we prepare for the upcoming Week 3 Reversal that's been teased the past couple weeks!

...unless, of course, the reversal has already come. The group as a whole did... not have a particularly good performance in Week 2. I was panicking late Sunday afternoon that I was on track for a record worst performance, but managed a couple late wins to salvage a reasonable performance and keep me in contention. The top of the standings flipped, however, as Adam took four of our six disputed games, Joe and I split our six disputed games, and Adam took three of four from Joe.

Group standings can be found here, bearing in mind that they are no longer accurate. This time though it was me who screwed up, picking the Broncos for the column but taking the Texans on ESPN, and the column picks are what counts officially. You can also view how we've picked in relation to each other here. A change was made on Thursday night, with Hunter removed from the contest due to not picking any games, so that chart should now be significantly less confusing.

I also forgot to mention a rule back at the outset; this only came up because it was asked as I was writing this week's column. Each of us are granted four changes between when the column goes live and when the games kick off that we can use for any reason. So far none have been used through two weeks.

As we prepare to deal with the Great Reversal, Adam and I disagree on four games out of 16, Joe and I on seven, and Adam and Joe on five. Let's get to it!

Thursday, September 15, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 2

One week down, the coalition returns to work for the next round of picking NFL games against the spread!

For most of us, this was about par for the course in the opener. I took two of three disputed games from Adam and a whopping five of six from Joe, and Adam took four of five in Week 1. The result of that bloodbath has me with a narrow lead in the group through 16 games, Adam right on my tail, and Joe returning to the basement.

If you check the group, you may notice a 0-0 record for Hunter, one of our new contestants. He entered his picks on the wrong thing, but I'm not going to penalize him for that. We'll give him a mulligan this round and mark him at 0-0, then see how he does from here.

You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. It was a good week for hero picks as those of us who opted for them were successful in our first attempts of the year, while the more agreed upon picks saw less success in the opening week. I had to adjust the sheet to account for Hunter not entering picks in the right group, but everything from Week 1 should be accounted for now.

And so we return to column format for Week 2; Joe sent me his picks in advance but did not have time to do any writeups for any games, so his picks are presented without context. This week, Adam and I disagree on 6 games, Joe and I on 6, and Adam and Joe on 4. Let's get to it!