Thursday, September 22, 2022

2022 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 3

The coalition is back as we prepare for the upcoming Week 3 Reversal that's been teased the past couple weeks!

...unless, of course, the reversal has already come. The group as a whole did... not have a particularly good performance in Week 2. I was panicking late Sunday afternoon that I was on track for a record worst performance, but managed a couple late wins to salvage a reasonable performance and keep me in contention. The top of the standings flipped, however, as Adam took four of our six disputed games, Joe and I split our six disputed games, and Adam took three of four from Joe.

Group standings can be found here, bearing in mind that they are no longer accurate. This time though it was me who screwed up, picking the Broncos for the column but taking the Texans on ESPN, and the column picks are what counts officially. You can also view how we've picked in relation to each other here. A change was made on Thursday night, with Hunter removed from the contest due to not picking any games, so that chart should now be significantly less confusing.

I also forgot to mention a rule back at the outset; this only came up because it was asked as I was writing this week's column. Each of us are granted four changes between when the column goes live and when the games kick off that we can use for any reason. So far none have been used through two weeks.

As we prepare to deal with the Great Reversal, Adam and I disagree on four games out of 16, Joe and I on seven, and Adam and Joe on five. Let's get to it!

Thursday Night

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (-5.5)
Lucas: Browns. Can we root for a giant meteor instead? Pittsburgh because of one Biscuit, and Cleveland because... well... (editor note: tweet contains NSFW language)

Adam: Browns. I am just happy for the Steelers fans for already knowing that the Biscuit is trash in less than two weeks. Chants for Kenny Picket were heard last week ringing through Heinz ...Acrisure Stadium (?!?!) in a Week 2 loss.
Joe: Browns.

Sunday, Early Afternoon

Houston Texans @ Chicago Bears (-2.5)
Lucas: Bears. Chicago will need to throw more than 11 times, and ya know, not go shotgun and fourth and goal from the one foot line, but I think they bounce back.
Adam: Texans. Call this an overreaction to losing to the Packers, call this a compliment to Houston for hanging with Indy for a tie and then Denver before eventually losing in the 4th, whatever. Also, Fields is 15-28 (53.6%) for 191 yards, good enough for last in yards/game and passing yards/game. I get it, the field in both games were not ideal, but he must show me something soon.
Lucas note: Well, for what it's worth, Justin Fields is averaging 6.8 yards per attempt, which is middle of the pack and ties him with guys like Cooper Rush, Matt Ryan, and Geno Smith. Take that for what you will.
Joe: Bears.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Tennessee Titans (+2.5)
Lucas: Raiders. Titans broken. You know what reference I haven't made in a while?

Adam: Raiders. I trust Vegas more than I trust Tennessee right now.
Joe: Raiders.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts (+6.5)
Lucas: Chiefs. I think the case can be made that the AFC South is Tank Division this year. Chiefs by at least a couple scores.
Adam: Chiefs. I was right: last week Mahomie came back to earth and was only saved by the defense with a 99 yard pick-6. That said, Matty “Ice” Ryan has all but frozen, losing to an admittedly improving Jags team last week. Even on the road, I see KC romping.
Joe: Chiefs.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins (+5.5)
Lucas: Bills. Tua's gonna have his work cut out for him this week. He'll keep this interesting I'm sure, but I take the Bills with a late front door cover.
Adam: Bills. Josh Allen is unreal. Through two games, he is 52-69 (75.4%), 614 yards and 7 touchdowns to 2 interceptions. No stopping this man.
Joe: Bills.

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (-6.5)
Lucas: Lions. Like I said: Week 1 was Minnesota's Super Bowl. Detroit can keep this close.
Adam: Lions. I am not in love with this pick, as we can all agree Detroit Sucks. But here is exhibit A for why I don’t like Minnesota.

Joe: Lions.

Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots (+3.5)
Lucas: Ravens. I know they blew a 21 point fourth quarter lead... but Lamar is gonna get freaking PAID this offseason.
Adam: Ravens. Despite an epic fall apart, but I see this as a softer spot for the Ravens and am hoping they can win by better than three points.

Lucas note: Still kind of amazed the Falcons almost ended up in this picture.
Joe: Ravens.

Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets (+4.5)
Lucas: Jets. Especially since they've done nothing to improve their offensive line, here's a live look at Cincinnati:

Adam: Jets. I am sensing this may be a hero pick, which means it will be a consensus pick, lol But I just have zero faith in Cincy right now. Plus let’s recap just how bad Joe “Kevin McCallister” Burrow has been since he lost his appendix.
Joe: Bengals.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders (+6.5)
Lucas: Eagles. What's the opposite of a revenge game? Because this may happen with Carson Wentz.
Adam: Eagles. Man, Philly has looked good. And Wentz seems to like to just hurl the ball down field – look ma no eyes.
Joe: Eagles.

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (+2.5)
Lucas: Saints. You won't fool me thrice, Carolina.
Adam: Saints. Carolina is asking how long until Sam Darnold comes back to see ghosts? I jest, but not really.
Joe: Panthers.

Sunday, Late Afternoon

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5)
Lucas: Jaguars. Mainly because I don't know how healthy Justin Herbert will be and I've got some leeway with the points.
Adam: Chargers. Assuming Herbert is playing and not worrying about his ribs, this seems like the right line. I will reserve one of my four changes in case Herbert is out; I may be tempted to switch.

Lucas note: I wish this cut off like half a second later.

Joe: Chargers.

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
Lucas: Cardinals. Arizona's had the Rams' number the past couple of seasons. Combine that with the Rams maybe being... not as good as they were last year, and this seems like a good value at +3.5.
Adam: Cardinals. Really just rolling with the end of last week's game into this one. I think Arizona stays hot.
Joe: Rams.

Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks (-1.5)
Lucas: Falcons. So close to turning the 28-3 memes on their heads. Alas.
Adam: Seahawks. Geno Smith has filed for copyright on “They wrote me off. I ain’t write back though.,” A comment he made after beading Denver in Week 1. A cocky statement for sure, since he was left with a loss and no touchdowns in Week 2. But Atlanta is a mess, so there is that.
Joe: Seahawks.

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. NOPE NOPE NOPE NOPE NOPE NOPE.
Adam: Buccaneers. Going back and forth here; I can see scenarios where either team wins/covers or even blows out the other. But I am just going with the old standby: take the home team in a coinflip.
Joe: Packers.

Sunday Night

San Francisco 49ers @ Denver Broncos (+1.5)
Lucas: 49ers. Get well soon, Trey.
Adam: 49ers. With Trey Lance out for the season, we caught a candid shot of Jimmy.

Joe: 49ers.

Monday Night

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (-2.5)
Lucas: Cowboys. Can the meteor circle back around for this game? Because I don't think I can handle suddenly overconfident Giant fans in a 3-0 start, or ...any Cowboys fans.
Adam: Giants. I am chalking last week up to a fluke. Plus Cincy is not looking good this year. G-Men at home, in a divisional game. It may seem like a hard pick, but for me it is easy. CoWbOyS ArE GoInG tO tHe SuPeRbOwL. Lol, no Jerra, Superbowl’s are for real football teams.
Joe: Giants.

Records So Far
Lucas: 13-19 (5-11 last week)
Adam: 14-18 (7-9 last week)
Joe: 9-23 (5-11 last week)
Geoffrey: 10-22 (5-11 last week)
Jim: 10-22 (6-10 last week)
Tom: 14-18 (7-9 last week)
Hunter: 0-0

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