Thursday, December 12, 2013

COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 15

We're coming down to the wire! Three weeks, 48 games remain. Only three playoff spots are locked up, and a lot of races are probably going down to the wire.

Last week was a pretty high week; I got 9 of the possible 16 games right, but Nathaniel caught fire, picking 12 right. I still hold a narrow lead at this stage.

Unfortunately, for the stretch run I decided to go separate. Just my picks will be featured here the next three weeks. You can view them coming up after the jump. Hopefully I can still do well enough on these without a foil.


Thursday Night
San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos (-10.5)
Lucas: Chargers. Obviously Peyton didn't like the "sucks in cold weather" narrative, and neither did Denver. I think San Diego is slightly more competent than Tennessee at this stage, though.

Sunday, Early Afternoon
Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons (-6.5)
Lucas: Redskins. Even realizing that Washington is just awful, remember that of Atlanta's 21 points, all came in the first half, 7 came off kind of a fluky pick-6, and another 7 came off of a Green Bay turnover deep in their own territory. There weren't really any lengthy drives aside from the one that opened the game. And Green Bay's defense sucks. Points, please.

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5)
Lucas: Jaguars. Why do I feel like I'm all in on these guys. Maybe I should move down there and take advantage of the apparently super cheap tickets I was talking about with an old friend on Monday. Then again, I'm getting married in less than 200 days and I don't think my wife-to-be wants to move. Probably should hold off.

Chicago Bears @ Cleveland Browns (-1.5)
Lucas: Bears. How, exactly, is Cleveland favored here? I get that their defense is decent and it's Jason Campbell starting as opposed to Brandon Weeden, but have you seen the ridiculousness coming out of Alshon Jeffrey lately? Then again, if the Bears had a competent defense...

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (-6.5)
Lucas: Colts. We all remember what happened the last time Wade Phillips was in charge of a team, right?


New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins (+2.5)
Lucas: Dolphins. WHY GRONK NO GET TO GO PLAY IN MIAMI? GRONK WANT PARTY WITH PRETTY LADIES WHILE DOING KEGSTANDS. GRONK NO CARE IF GRONK'S KNEE TORN APART AND IN TREMENDOUS PAIN!

Philadelphia Eagles @ Minnesota Vikings (+4.5)
Lucas: Eagles. Obviously snow wasn't a problem for Chip Kelly, but put them in a dome? Have fun, Leslie.

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Giants (+6.5)
Lucas: Seahawks. I'm writing off the Giants now. Partially because it's the Seahawks, but mostly because I think, for real, the Giants are done now.

San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5)
Lucas: 49ers. San Fran reestablished themselves with that big win over Seattle. Facing a weak team this week helps quite a bit.

Sunday, Late Afternoon
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders (+4.5)
Lucas: Chiefs. Because we have to delay giving Denver the AFC West as long as possible. Could KC finish 13-3 and be a wild card? It's doable, right?

New York Jets @ Carolina Panthers (-11.5)
Lucas: Jets. I'm sorry, but even with the disparity between these guys, I can't lay that many points. Cam Newton, please don't hurt me.

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)
Lucas: Packers. Look, I'm aware it's stupid too with Rodgers likely not playing. But as bad as Dallas' defense is, is it that unreasonable to think Matt Flynn could pull out another one? Also, Dallas in December. Remember this.

Arizona Cardinals @ Tennessee Titans (+2.5)
Lucas: Cardinals. Tennessee gets a slightly weaker opponent, which helps, but I like how Arizona looks overall. Larry Fitzgerald is overjoyed that he has a competent quarterback again!

New Orleans Saints @ St. Louis Rams (+5.5)
Lucas: Saints. With the cold and winter weather that has abounded in the past week or two, Drew Brees put "playing every game indoors" on his Christmas list.

Sunday Night
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5)
Lucas: Bengals. Andy Dalton looks pretty good this year, doesn't he? Maybe the Bengals can actually avoid being one-and-done this time.

Monday Night
Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions (-5.5)
Lucas: Ravens. Even though it's in Detroit, the Lions are the Lions. I can't shake the feeling that something is going to happen where Detroit screws themselves over. It's what they do.

Record So Far
111-101 (9-7 last week)

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