Strong performances from last week did not really continue on the whole. I did take three of five from Adam to eat into his lead, but Joe grabbed three of four from me and five of seven from Adam for the best week out of the columnists.
Adam was texting us mid-week last week asking how we could have let Jim get into second place, and all this time Adam should have been paying attention to his rear view mirror, as Jim has surged into a tie for first place. Geoffrey remains in striking distance, just two games off the pace. Poor Matthew, meanwhile, after a strong start has faded into last place.
You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. With Jim's successful hero pick of the Chargers this past week, everyone in the group has managed at least one for the year. Adam's hold on first evaporated thanks in part to a bad week of superminority picks. And despite a bad week for consensus, we're still above .500 for the season.
Looking ahead now, Adam and I disagree on six games, while Joe disagrees with each of us on five games. Let's get to it!
Thursday Night
Houston Texans @ New York Jets (+0.5)
Lucas: Texans. S***, I should have ordered a white J.J. Watt jersey and an astronaut helmet so I could go as the Strouds for Halloween.
Adam: Texans. Jets suck. That’s about it here. The team formerly known as the Jets is not an experiment that I want a part of right now.
Joe: Texans.
Sunday, Early Afternoon
Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons (-2.5)
Lucas: Falcons. Sometimes you just need to embrace the classics.
Adam: Falcons. LOL, only a 2.5 point dog, lets pump that up for Jerra to about five or six. Do the Heiferladies do anything well right now? Maybe make 4th quarter last-ditch efforts to possibly maybe try and cover. Their MO is play like crap for three and a half quarters and then sling it for the rest.
Joe: Falcons.
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (-6.5)
Lucas: Bills. Tua was fine, I guess, in his return. He's still a ticking time bomb, and we saw what happened the last time these two teams met.
Adam: Dolphins. Miami looks revitalized with Tua in there. As long as his brains don’t become scrambled egg due to another concussion, I’ll ride with them for the time being.
Joe: Bills.
Las Vegas Raiders @ Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)
Lucas: Raiders. Honestly this is a points pick and nothing more. I'm probably overcorrecting for losing with Cincy this past week.
Adam: Bengals. Revenge game for losing last week. Really the question is, are the Bengals just having bad luck or are they just bad?
Lucas note: Their expected record at present is 3.8-4.2, which suggests bad luck. Not counting their clunker in Week 1 against the Pats, the rest of their results more or less track, and remember one of their losses came in overtime.
Joe: Bengals.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns (+1.5)
Lucas: Chargers. I probably shouldn't do this either, but I still don't trust the Browns even though this past week just proved that Watson was the problem.
Adam: Browns. What better than crab man himself to lead the Browns to an improbable win? He keeps rolling both on the field with touchdowns and off the field with cheese rip-offs.
Joe: Chargers.
New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans (-2.5)
Lucas: Patriots. I see a little momentum coming from their win against the Jets this past week.
Adam: Patriots. So apparently there is something going around saying that the team the Lions play the week before have never won the next week. Playing that angle here and taking NE.
Joe: Patriots.
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants (+2.5)
Lucas: Commanders. I have other Bears thoughts for later, so instead I'm gonna point and laugh at Tyrique Stevenson some more here.
This just gets better and better. https://t.co/EWv9GeHvcE
— Lucas Mitzel🎙 (@northsider89) October 28, 2024
Lucas note: Hold on, I'm coming back to the Bears in a bit, but let's make fun of the Giants too since we're here.
Joe: Commanders.
New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (+6.5)
Lucas: Panthers. Yes, even with the trade of Diontae Johnson.
Adam: Panthers. Ehhhh... I guess I don’t like the line, but brother ewwww.
Joe: Saints.
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens (-9.5)
Lucas: Broncos. I don't get this Ravens team. They're clearly good, but they play maddeningly sometimes. Taking the points because I don't think they should be double digit favorites here.
Adam: Broncos. Yeahhhhhhhh... don’t like the line. 10 seems too high. Yes, the Ravens will be out for blood after losing to the Browns, but 10?
Joe: Broncos.
Sunday, Late Afternoon
Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals (-1.5)
Lucas: Cardinals. So if I learned anything from Sunday evening besides the fact that Matt Eberflus is an idiot (who has somehow never won a Sunday road game), it's this: do not hand the ball off to your center on the goal line when down by one possession. Worst case, you get whatever the hell happened with the Bears on Sunday. Best case, you get #WheatonSpecialTeams. Let's enjoy this gem from 2019 one more time.
Joe: Bears.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5)
Lucas: Jaguars. Maybe this is me being to bearish on the Eagles who are playing better than I've given them credit for, but Jacksonville's offense has taken a step forward in the past few weeks, and we saw it against Green Bay this past week. Taking the points here.
Adam: Eagles. The Jags are selling and Philly seems to be rounding into form. Wish it was only 6.5, but I think 7.5 is still covered.
Joe: Eagles.
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (+4.5)
Lucas: Packers. I don't even care who's starting under center for Green Bay this week. I'd like maybe one more point here, but I'll take what I'm given.
Adam: Lions. Detroit's just playing with people now. The Heiferladies two weeks ago with some lineman shenanigans, and then this week with all kinds of scoring; Passing, Rushing, Trick play running back passing, Defense, Punt return. What can the Lions not do well right now?
Joe: Packers.
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-0.5)
Lucas: Seahawks. Straight pick 'em, I'll grab the home favorite.
Adam: Seahawks. Just a home team play.
Joe: Seahawks.
Sunday Night
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings (-5.5)
Lucas: Colts. Anthony Richardson must need to hibernate or something, because Flacco is starting. I'm assuming this means Steichen is playing for this year, in which case give me the Elite.
Adam: Colts. Indy benches Richardson in favor of Flacco. I wonder if this is more injury related than performance related, but in any case, we have Ol’ Man Falcco coming in to save the day.
Joe: Vikings.
Monday Night
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. Usual deal here. Tampa will keep it close, but the Chiefs will find a way to win.
Adam: Buccaneers. Can KC even win by more than seven points? I jest of course; they have won games by 13 and 10 earlier in October, but to say its been pretty would not be accurate. Mayfield has been up and down, and yes Tampa is missing their two top wide receivers, but I think KC KC's and lets the Bucs keep it close, or at least no more than a touchdown.
Joe: Buccaneers.
Records So Far
Lucas: 63-60 (6-10 last week)
Adam: 68-55 (5-11 last week)
Joe: 62-61 (8-8 last week)
Geoffrey: 66-57 (8-8 last week)
Jim: 68-55 (9-7 last week)
John: 63-60 (8-8 last week)
Matthew: 59-64 (4-12 last week)
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