Monday, December 1, 2014

2014 NCAA Playoff Points Rankings: Week 14

There was a little chaos... but not enough for my taste.

I'm back on my normal schedule for college football now after taking the last couple of Mondays off due to birthdays and Blackhawk games. And with the season about to wrap up, it's good to do so.

The Committee largely kept things intact, while I made some changes out of protest to the SEC's weak out of conference scheduling, and it made for a weird mock bracket last week. This week saw much improvement in the scheduling, and with it some key number changes that need to be addressed.

If you need a reminder of how this stuff works, you can go back to my explanation of Playoff Points from my Week 1 post. Let's take a look at the damage.


American Athletic
Wins: 5.09 (10th; LW: 10th)
PP1: 15.91 (10th; LW: 10th)
PP2: 8.62 (10th; LW: 10th)

ACC
Wins: 7.00 (T-3rd; LW: 4th)
PP1: 34.93 (4th; LW: 4th)
PP2: 22.41 (2nd; LW: 2nd)

Big 10
Wins: 7.00 (T-3rd; LW: 3rd)
PP1: 35.14 (3rd; LW: 3rd)
PP2: 21.84 (3rd; LW: 3rd)

Big XII
Wins: 6.40 (5th; LW: 5th)
PP1: 27.80 (6th; LW: 5th)
PP2: 18.02 (4th; LW: 5th)

Conference USA
Wins: 5.85 (8th; LW: 8th)
PP1: 25.46 (8th; LW: 8th)
PP2: 16.14 (6th; LW: 7th)

Independents
Wins: 6.25 (T-6th; LW: T-6th)
PP1: 28.00 (5th; LW: 6th)
PP2: 16.08 (7th; LW: 6th)

MAC
Wins: 5.38 (9th; LW: 9th)
PP1: 18.77 (9th; LW: 9th)
PP2: 10.77 (9th; LW: 9th)

Mountain West
Wins: 6.25 (T-6th; LW: T-6th)
PP1: 26.17 (7th; LW: 7th)
PP2: 14.46 (8th; LW: 8th)

Pac 12
Wins: 7.08 (2nd; LW: 2nd)
PP1: 36.08 (2nd; LW: 2nd)
PP2: 17.95 (5th; LW: 4th)

SEC
Wins: 7.43 (1st; LW: 1st)
PP1: 40.00 (1st; LW: 1st)
PP2: 23.91 (1st; LW: 1st)

Sun Belt
Wins: 5.00 (11th; LW: 11th)
PP1: 14.73 (11th; LW: 11th)
PP2: 5.34 (11th; LW: 11th)

Note: While I round all numbers to the nearest hundredth for the purpose of convenience, the independents were they their own conference and the Mountain West have identical average win totals, as do the ACC and Big Ten.

Photo uncredited (obtained from official Alabama Athletics website)
This will be the last major set of changes, and there will be a minimal impact next week. The conferences without title games still have a handful of games left, while the others have their conference championship games. Just so you are aware, I'm not computing conference championship games in Playoff Points just because of the imbalance it would create with the smaller conferences. Thus, for the most part, the Playoff Points you see here are the Playoff Points teams will end with.

Photo from @SportsCenter (Photographer uncredited)
Looking at individual schools,  Ohio State leads the nation in First Degree Playoff Points with 69, while Florida State is just behind them with 67. Eight schools total have at least 60 PP1, with another seven totaling somewhere in the fifties. As for Second Degree Playoff Points, 48 schools have a score of at least 20, with a handful in the thirties, led by Ole Miss at 34.56. If you want to see the official totals for every school, you can refer to my spreadsheet here.

This begs an important question with one week to go: Who do you think should make the Death to the BCS Playoffs? At this stage, only one spot is officially claimed (though a few other teams have, for all intents and purposes, locked up spots as well). Who would you give bids to? And how would you seed them? Leave your thoughts in the comments below. In the meantime, I'm going to do the math. I'll be back later this afternoon with my last mock bracket for the Death to the BCS Playoffs!

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