I'm still not totally sure if it's hit me yet that everyone is playing 17 games this season; maybe it's because I think the change was dumb, but the almighty dollar continues to rule the NFL. Meanwhile, ruling the group still continues to be Adam, though his lead is narrowing. After using his first mulligan on Sunday night, that was the deciding game that gave the narrow edge for the week as I took four of seven disputed games. Adam remains in the lead, but it's down to just two games as Geoffrey had a monster Week 8 to get within striking distance.
You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. Adam's early success in hero picks has regressed back to the mean a little bit, though among more split picks he's been really good, which is how he's still out in front. I'm hanging on despite a rough hero start.
This week, Adam and I disagree on six games out of 14. Let's get to it!
Thursday Night
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts (-10.5)
Lucas: Colts. I'm leery about this line and want to take the points. So naturally, since this is a Thursday night game and I suck at these, I'm taking the Colts.
Adam: Jets. Tall line, and another stock Thursday night game. The Jets upset the Bengals on the back of over 400 yards passing from *check notes* ... *confirm who the eff this guy is with person closest to you* Mike “The Slinger” White. Call this an overreaction, but the Jets keep it close.
Sunday, Early Afternoon
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)
Lucas: Bengals. I'm not sure if it's a Disease of More thing, injuries taking their toll, or what, but the Browns are starting to tip back to Factory of Sadness mode. Going up against the new darling of the AFC North... have fun with that.
Adam: Browns. We all know what happens in the Mayfield Cycle after a crappy game and getting called out by the media: why yes, it's a 350 yard, 3 touchdown and no interception game to blow said opponent out of the water.
Denver Broncos @ Dallas Cowboys (-9.5)
Lucas: Broncos. This was a tough call. Early reports on Dak seem to be pretty positive coming into this week, but I don't think he's even close to 100 percent, and whether we see him or Cooper Rush, this is one the Cowboys should win, though I'll hedge my bets and hope for a backdoor cover at worst.
Adam: Broncos. Now that Von Miller is out and still crying about his Halloween Party, we can all see if Dak will miss his second game. I believe I set the line at 15.5? So we shall see...
Lucas note: You did, in fact, set the line at 15.5. If you see Cooper Rush come out early on Sunday, please collect your winnings at the window.
Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins (-6.5)
Lucas: Dolphins. Cue up the Roundball Rock; it's time for a Tank Bowl.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (-5.5)
Lucas: Falcons. This one just makes me sad. The Bakery shouldn't have to shut down due to a destroyed knee, but alas, that's where we are. Also, good on Calvin Ridley for knowing he's not in the right headspace and stepping away to get himself right. Get well soon, both of you.
Adam: Saints. I get it, no quarterback (or maybe a quarterback who’s coming off concussion). But let’s be honest with each other for a moment: Kamara accounts for like 50% of the offensive touches for New Orleans. Just up that a little and they will be fine.
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Giants (+3.5)
Lucas: Raiders. Glad they cut him later in the evening after it happened, but Henry Ruggs should never play another down in the NFL ever again. Don't drink and drive, people.
Adam: Raiders. You know you are a bad coach when your former team is ragging your calls. Yes, one Jason Garret is still the bane of Cowboys’ nation. And just to be clear, he does it again.
New England Patriots @ Carolina Panthers (+3.5)
Lucas: Patriots. Have I made this reference before? If so, screw it, I'm doing it again with what Darth Hoodie's thought process at the draft probably was.
Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+14.5)
Lucas: Bills. Only because I don't think Trevor Lawrence can pull a backdoor comeback with the team as constructed.
Adam: Jaguars. At the start of the season I would have taken the Bills hard in this spot with this line, but Buffalo has been floundering. As much as I would love to see the Bills roast the Jags just so we can get some Garbage Biscuit time Biscuit in garbage time No, sorry, I was right the first time.
Minnesota Vikings @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
Lucas: Ravens. I mean, if you can't beat the Cowboys minus their starting quarterback...
Adam: Vikings. Call this another overreaction pick, but Minnesota had no business losing that game on Sunday night. They played COOPER EFFING RUSH! Hell, the Dallas media is practically anointing him king and offensive player of the week! That aside, Minnesota should be competitive in this spot.
Sunday, Late Afternoon
Los Angeles Chargers @ Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5)
Lucas: Chargers. Betting on more of a return to normal here. LA should be able to bounce back and take care of business against an Eagles team that trounced the Lions.
Adam: Chargers. LA is on a little mini skid and Eagles trounced the Lions. This game sets up perfectly for a blow out win by the Chargers on the road against a B-list team. And yes that makes the Lions like a C or D-list team.
Lucas note: To be fair... they kinda are.
Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
Lucas: Packers. I had this neat little diatribe all written out about how this line is a joke, complete with John Wick Rodgers and Packers by a million, and then my Wednesday got ruined. I still have faith in Jordan Love against this Chiefs' "defense" though, especially since that would make Bears fans panic about how we get a third straight Hall of Fame quarterback.
…FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU https://t.co/LGfgeAo1pi
— Lucas Mitzel🎙 (@northsider89) November 3, 2021
Adam: Chiefs. *mouth hitting the floor* How is Mahomie a favorite?! SMH. (Well, not that A-A-Ron is out, I can see how they are the favorite. Did ESPN know about this? Let's check the emails... too soon?) Now let’s go to Brittany with a hot take. Serious question for everyone: is she drunk or just dumb... OOORRRRRR both?
😂😂😂
Posted by NFL Memes on Tuesday, November 2, 2021
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (+2.5)
Lucas: Cardinals. Speaking of Arizona, I bet they bounce back. Getting a meh Niners team helps.
Adam: Cardinals. It is a divisional game, so I expect San Francisco plays hard, but in the end Arizona outlasts the 49ers.
Sunday Night
Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Rams (-7.5)
Lucas: Rams. Get well soon, Euphoric Violet Gazelle.
Adam: Rams. Maybe another overreaction this week, but with Tennessee losing Henry...
Monday Night
Chicago Bears @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)
Lucas: Bears. Because Justin Fields' touchdown run on Sunday looked awesome, and it's not his fault his defense sucks. It helps this week, though, that Pittsburgh's offense sucks too and they tried to get Chris Boswell killed over the weekend.
Adam: Bears. The Bears always seem to show up in primetime games. Who remembers the comeback in Arizona? Just checking, were the Bears who you thought they were?
Records So Far
Lucas: 64-58 (8-7 last week)
Adam: 69-53 (7-8 last week)
Joe: 60-62 (6-9 last week)
Geoffrey: 67-55 (10-5 last week)
Jim: 63-59 (6-9 last week)
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