Thursday, October 29, 2020

2020 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 8

The coalition returns to action here for Week 8 of the NFL season, and for some of us... we need to get our act in gear.

The good news is, a week after I screwed up on ESPN, Adam did this past week as well by picking the Raiders here, but the Bucs on ESPN, so now he and I both have one more point on ESPN than we should. You can view those standings, bearing that adjustment in mind, here.

Error aside, Adam took four of six disputed games last week, which looking back on it is something of a miracle. And I think all of us can say... at least we aren't Joe, who I'm pretty sure just had the worst week in contest history. You can view how we've picked in relation to each other, with correct standings, here. Groupwise now, Adam has taken a narrow group lead, with Geoffrey and I hot on his tail, and Jim made a nice run this past week with some good hero picks.

This week, Adam and I disagree on seven games out of 14. Let's get to it!

Thursday Night

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (-2.5)
Lucas: Panthers.
Adam: Panthers. Carolina is clearly the better team here. Also fun stat: the Falcons now have three games in which they had at least a 98% chance to win with only a couple minutes left in the game and managed to lose. I say they double that before the end of the season.

Sunday, Early Afternoon

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (-3.5)
Lucas: Bills. It's so weird seeing New England be... not good. I mean, even in 2008 when Brady shredded his knee in the opener they still went 11-5. They're like... back to the pack now, and it's so weird!
Adam: Bills. Can he Cam Experiment officially end please? He has gotten progressively worse QBR's in each of his games this season. That is a function of Cam, not Olde Billy Boy. Let the mafia out in Buffalo.

Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5)
Lucas: Titans. New rule I just made up: Always pick a team that will stick it to a local homeowners association. F*** HOA's.
Adam: Bengals. This is one of those lines that I am like wha? I’ll take the Titans easy. And that is exactly why I am not taking the Titans. Kevin makes a reprise in Home Alone: Escape from... the Nashville.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Cleveland Browns (-2.5)
Lucas: Raiders. In keeping with the premise that Cleveland is the Good Bad Team, since the Raiders aren't bad, I think this will be closer than we think. Taking the points.
Adam: Raiders. Where is Baker on his cycle of play? Ah yes, of course: the play like poop week.

Indianapolis Colts @ Detroit Lions (+2.5)
Lucas: Lions. Indy started out pretty well, but I feel like they've come back down to earth a bit. I'll take the points against a Lions team that isn't quite as bad as I thought at the beginning of the season.
Adam: Colts. What’s that? Phillip Rivers and wife just had another baby? Huuu, what’s that? ...oh, Phillip Rivers is going to be Matthew Stafford’s daddy.

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers (-6.5)
Lucas: Packers. Green Bay lit these guys up for 43 in the opener. I think they can do it again.
Adam: Packers. Not sure there is much to say here. The Pack are a superior team here. While I doubt there will a repeat from Davante Adams and his offensive explosion, it will be an easy victory this week.

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs (-19.5)
Lucas: Jets. I just... I can't lay 20 points. I can't do it. And thus I look forward to the inevitable 60-6 Chiefs victory on Sunday.
Adam: Chiefs. This line is so comically high how can I not take the Chiefs to cover? Fun fact: last week the Kansas City defense/special teams was my highest scoring fantasy player, and that was against a much better Broncos team. I foresee another 25+ game this week as well. Bring out the ghosts.

Los Angeles Rams @ Miami Dolphins (+3.5)
Lucas: Rams. Okay, so far the Rams' wins have come against the entirety of the NFC Least, plus that... thing... the Bears trot out every week called an offense. Miami's in that territory, let's go for it.
Adam: Dolphins. I originally had the Rams here, but as I write this, I remember Tua will be making his first NFL start. I’ll give one to Tua Tugalvalaaieoolaoiiolllaeeooeaala or whatever his last name is.
Lucas note: Put some respeck on Humuhumunukunukuapua'a's name!

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)
Lucas: Steelers. Makes sense to favor the home team, but I think this line is perfect for me. I'll take the field goal as a cushion.
Adam: Ravens. The Steelers are the last unbeaten with a stud running defense that held O’Henry to 75 and a touchdown last week. And the Ravens rely on the running ability from Jackson, so naturally I will take the Ravens at home.

Sunday, Late Afternoon

Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos (+2.5)
Lucas: Chargers. Don't trust the Broncos, laying the points.
Adam: Chargers. I had to look this up: the combined record of these teams is 4-8. I therefore crown you this week’s dumpster fire.
Lucas note: The Sunday Night game would like a word.

New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears (+2.5)
Lucas: Saints. This was tougher than it looks. Part of me wants to take the Bears because of their defense and the whole Drew Brees outdoors in cold weather thing, but...
Adam: Bears. I shouldn’t be doing this, just take the Saints... I shouldn’t be doing this, just take the Saints... I shouldn’t be doing this... I’LL TAKE THE BEARS.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)
Lucas: Seahawks. Seattle can't play a normal game, so they'll probably have to do something absolutely ridiculous to pull in front and win by four against a still pretty good Niners team. Also, DK Metcalf is ridiculous.
Adam: Seahawks. I was down 50 points in fantasy going into Sunday night last week. Had the points Lockett put up been scored by DK, I would have won. But alas, I had to watch DK get 3 catches for like 20 yards. Oh well. This week his fortune changes.

Sunday Night

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)
Lucas: Eagles. I keep getting options! I mean, part of me doesn't want to take a potshot since Jon Bostic is a dirtbag and Goodell should be fired for not suspending him, but then this happens... and I just can't pass it up.
Adam: Eagles. Ugh, barf city. Why is this the Sunday Night game? Why do the Cowboys always get so many prime time games? The Fan (sports talk radio in Dallas) had a nice 30+ min segment this week talking about what pieces the team should trade to amass picks for next year. Dem Boyz shipping it in already. You go get your 15 picks and still struggle to get to .500 next year.

Monday Night

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New York Giants (+10.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. Part of me wants to take the points, but the Giants' back door cover attempt will probably look like Daniel Jones' scamper from the other night.
Adam: Giants. I don’t see any 80 yard dashes in Jones’ future. But the memes were gold.

Records So Far
Lucas: 55-50 (4-10 last week)
Adam: 56-49 (6-8 last week)
Joe: 48-57 (1-13 last week)
Geoffrey: 55-50 (7-7 last week)
Jim: 52-53 (6-8 last week)
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