Thursday, October 22, 2020

2020 COAS Pigskin Pick 'Em: Week 7

It was kind of a rough week on the whole for the coalition, so we're back at it again in Week 7 to try and right the ship!

It was nice to not have any games have to be postponed this past week, so there's no weird information from last week about a game that wasn't played. But of the games that were, Adam took two of the three disputed games last week to pull back within a game of the lead. You now have to ignore the ESPN standings as for once I'm the one who screwed up; I picked the Patriots in the column, but took the Broncos on ESPN, and by rule, the column is what counts, so I have one more point than I should.

You can view accurate standings, as well as how we've picked in relation to each other, here. This week, Adam and I disagree on six games out of 14. Let's get to it!

Thursday Night

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5)
Lucas: Eagles. If there's one thing fans of CCIW rival schools can agree on...

Adam: Giants. These two teams are in second and third in the NFC East and are a combined 2-9-1. Thank God this is the Thursday night game so that way I don’t have to be bothered by it taking up valuable air space on Sunday.
Lucas note: Crap, that's right; you'd inevitably get this game down in Dallas if it were on Sunday. Counterpoint though: this is a national game now, so everyone ends up seeing it.

Sunday, Early Afternoon

Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons (-2.5)
Lucas: Lions. Hope it was worth it, Atlanta.

Pray for Atlanta sports fans 🙏

Posted by NFL Memes on Sunday, October 18, 2020
Adam: Lions. This game has the potential for a shootout written all over it. Matty Ice is known to send in reinforcements on his aerial assaults, and Stafford can also sling the ball a fair bit of the time. This game comes down to last possession and who has the ball. I like the Lions to cover.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets (+12.5)
Lucas: Bills.

Posted by NFL Memes on Monday, October 19, 2020
Adam: Jets. This is a pure gut play. I feel like the line at a massive +12.5 to the Jets may even be a touch low. That why I am going with my gut and picking the opposite. Let’s see if Darnold can survive the first half without seeing any ghosts, if he even starts.

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5)
Lucas: Browns. OK, now that I've been sufficiently proven an idiot, I'd like to amend last week's claim. The Browns aren't legit; maybe they're more the 2020 Good Bad Team; the one that beats the stuffing out of weak opponents but can't hang with the big dogs. Might still be enough to keep them in the playoff race though.
Adam: Browns. The Bengals keeping pace with the Colts last week does not mean that this game should be a 3.5 point line. Yes, Baker's slid a little, though I think that may be due to a rib injury he is playing through. This game will be closer than is should be, but the Browns should win with relative ease.

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Football Team (+3.5)
Lucas: Cowboys. See above, just add Cowboy fan tears.


Adam: Washington. It's scary to say in Week 7 that winner of this game would be in first place in the NFC East; The Team has only 2 wins and the Cowboys have 3. Wow. I’m picking this game purely on the back of the Cowboys' defense. They are horrendous. And the offense is only a shadow of it former self.

Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans (+3.5)
Lucas: Packers. You remember what happened the last time the Packers went to Houston? They were looking vulnerable coming off a tough late loss to the Colts and everyone was talking about how vulnerable they were. Then Aaron Rodgers went and threw six touchdowns. I could see similar happening here.
Adam: Packers. Green Bay -3.5 on the road versus the ailing Texans?

Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
Lucas: Saints. I kind of want to take the points here, but I don't really trust the Panthers right now, and why not lay the points on Drew Brees at home?
Adam: Saints. I found this to be a tough game to pick. The Panthers are inconsistent, but still capable of putting up points. Brees is not quite what he used to be, but with the offensive weapons around him he can still flash brilliance. Regardless, as Lucas taught me several years ago, Brees at home is a different kind of animal. I'll lay the points and hope.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans (+2.5)
Lucas: Titans. Beware the Euphoric Violet Gazelle.


Adam: Steelers. This game should be fun to watch. The only question that needs to be answered in order to pick this game is who wins, Henry or Steelers run D. Pittsburgh's is in the top five; for me that is enough to pick them.
Lucas note: Hell, Pittsburgh is top two in run defense; they've allowed the fewest rushing attempts, second fewest yards, and second fewest yards per carry. And it's not like this is a fluky thing either; they held Saquon when he was healthy to six yards on 15 carries. Six yards!

Sunday, Late Afternoon

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)
Lucas: Seahawks. Seattle looked kind of mortal before their bye, but they get two weeks to prepare for an Arizona team that I think is a tier below them. Let's go for it.
Adam: Seahawks. Coming off the bye week, Seattle will be fresh and ready to roll. This will be another good game, but I just like Russell and crew better. And yes, at least 3.5 points better.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (+8.5)
Lucas: Chiefs. Kansas City certainly looks mortal. Unfortunately for them, you need more than an injury-riddled team to take advantage of it.
Adam: Broncos. This line scares me a touch. Looking back at the Broncos' games, their three losses to start the season came at the hands of the Titans, Steelers, and Bucs. They also have a solid win over the Pats. That is all to say, KC wins, but Denver keeps it interesting.

San Francisco 49ers @ New England Patriots (-2.5)
Lucas: Patriots. Now that Raheem Mostert is cooked again...
Adam: Patriots. Jimmy G goes up against his former team where he spent the early part of his career as back up to the GOAT. He will look for revenge but will fall short.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Los Angeles Chargers (-8.5)
Lucas: Jaguars. I don't really trust Jacksonville, especially after getting burned this past week, but I'm not sure the Chargers should be this big of favorites. I look forward to Justin Herbert lighting this secondary on fire to prove me wrong.
Adam: Jaguars. This line is daunting. Essentially saying that one team will win by more than a touchdown is a tough call aside from a top tier team against a bottom tier team. This game does not meet that criteria. I’ll take the points and say a little prayer.

Sunday Night

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. The lesson, me?

Adam: Raiders. This marks the fourth game this week that I have flip-flopped on my pick. These teams are evenly matched in my opinion. I’m just going to take the home team and the points.

Monday Night

Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams (-5.5)
Lucas: Bears. To me, this season screams repeat of 2018 for the Bears. Inept offense gets repeatedly bailed out by elite defense, and the Bears are rounding into that form defensively of late. I'll take the points.
Adam: Bears. A solid mid-season game. This will be a defensive battle if there ever was one. If I may be so bold to predict neither team breaks 20, and an outside chance that one of the teams doesn’t break 10. Due to the defensive battle, I am more than happy to take 5.5 points. Bear Down.

Records So Far
Lucas: 51-40 (5-9 last week)
Adam: 50-41 (6-8 last week)
Joe: 47-44 (7-7 last week)
Geoffrey: 48-43 (7-7 last week)
Jim: 46-45 (6-8 last week)

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