Adam retains his lead over the group thanks in part to taking two of three disputed games with me last week despite his being on a cruise, though we each swept our sets of disputed games with Joe (two for me, three for Adam). His lead remains about where it has been for a good chunk of the season. That 15-1 Week 2 gave him the cushion and we just haven't been able to catch up yet.
You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. We had a decent consensus week once again to keep our pace, but it was a great week for hero picks, as in the six games last week where someone went hero, five of them hit; this included Adam hitting on yet another one as he's 13-5 when he does so this season.
As we move on to this next week, Joe and I are pretty well aligned with just three disputed games out of 14. Adam is a little more out there though, disputing seven games with me and eight with Joe. Let's get to it!
Thursday Night
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions (-2.5)
Lucas: Lions. Didn't matter that the moon was waxing crescent instead of waxing gibbous on Thanksgiving, Detroit still lost. But in what should be a really good Thursday night game I'll lean the home team.
Adam: Cowboys. With St. Brown likely out, it kneecaps the Lions too much; plus Dallas has been markedly better since acquiring Williams. This game will come down to two things: what Dak do we get, and can the Lions' run game make up for the injuries.
Lucas note: As of Wednesday afternoon between when Adam sent his picks and I compiled everything, Amon-Ra was listed as a game time decision. And ankles are finicky; I can confirm from personal experience. Though mine did get me out of running like a dozen suicides at a basketball practice.
Joe: Lions.
Sunday, Early Afternoon
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons (+7.5)
Lucas: Seahawks. Doubt they'll pitch a shutout this week, but they shouldn't have a heck of a lot of trouble containing the Falcons.
Adam: Seahawks. I don’t like the couple extra points I think the Falcons have gotten, but Seattle is the much better team here and should win with ease.
Joe: Seahawks.
Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns (-4.5)
Lucas: Browns. Cam Ward has been sacked a league-high 48 times already this year, and this week his offensive line has to contend with *checks notes* Myles Garrett. Strahan's sack record is going to fall by halftime, isn't it?
Joe: Browns.
Washington Commanders @ Minnesota Vikings (+1.5)
Lucas: Commanders. Washington's had some rotten luck this season, and the Vikings are... trash? Let's go with trash. I shed no tears.
Adam: Commanders. Another game with a questionable play, and a key one. Daniels is not cleared for contact from what I saw but could still be in line to play. Without him, I still like the Commanders, so if he’s a go, just butter.
Joe: Commanders.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets (+2.5)
Lucas: Dolphins. Part of me could see this going the other way, but I still think Miami is the better team.
Adam: Dolphins. I really wanted to take the Jets, but the funeral that is McDaniels’ job seems to be scraping by and may just save himself until the end of the season.
Joe: Dolphins.
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. I'm a little leery laying this many on a divisional game, but it's the Saints. Screw it.
Adam: Saints. Purely a gut pick. 8.5 seems high for a divisional match where the Saints have been bad but not awful and the Bucs have come back to reality a little since their smokin’ hot start.
Joe: Buccaneers.
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5)
Lucas: Jaguars. Yeah, it probably depends on which Jags team shows up, but if I'm getting a point I'm gonna take it.
Adam: Colts. Not really sure what to think here. Long Necks it is.
Joe: Colts.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
Lucas: Ravens. Don't let the intrusive thoughts win, Lucas. Don't do it... Don't do- HEY, GUESS WHAT THE LOSER OF THIS GAME'S RECORD WILL BE?!
Joe: Ravens.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills (-5.5)
Lucas: Bengals. This is purely a points pick since Joe Burrow being back helps, especially against a wounded Buffalo defense.
Adam: Bengals. Cincy is revitalized with Burrow back and the Bills just seem a step off this year. Line seems right, but I’ll play with the Burrow magic; he is Kevin after all and it is the Christmas season.
Sunday, Late Afternoon
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5)
Lucas: Broncos. This is an insanely lucky 10-2 team, and it's going to bite them in the playoffs, but they can get away with it against the Raiders.
Adam: Raiders. How quickly people forget the Thursday night game a few weeks ago... I’ll take these points thank you and dare I say: comeback win for the Raiders.
Joe: Broncos.
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-6.5)
Lucas: Bears. I'm sorry, the Packers shouldn't be touchdown favorites here. I'm still gonna ride Toyotathon and Micah Parsons for a win, but the Bears will keep it close.
Adam: Bears. You serious Clark? 6.5?! That is an insult. Look, I get it: its in Lambeau and all, but the Bears sit atop the NFC AND it’s a divisional game. Give me them points. Bears cover for sure, but will be last possession for the W.
Joe: Bears.
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (+8.5)
Lucas: Rams. Easy bounceback game candidate.
Adam: Cardinals. Mostly a line pick, but the Rams have to falter and what better place than overlooking an “inferior” opponent such as Arizona?
Lucas note: So does the loss to Carolina that pushed the Bears into first place not count as "faltering?"
Joe: Rams.
Sunday Night
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)
Lucas: Texans. Thanks largely to this defense that held down the fort while Stroud recovered. NO MOON NO MOON STROUDS STROUDS STROUDS STROUDS.
Adam: Chiefs. KC is starting to look like they may miss the playoffs (we can only be so lucky) but they are a resilient team and I seem them pushing that possible fate out another week.
Joe: Texans.
Monday Night
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)
Lucas: Eagles. Though it would be funny to get a double dose of Crying Sirianni if John Carroll can upset their old conference foe in the D3 Playoffs on Saturday plus a Chargers upset here.
Joe: Chargers.
Records So Far
Lucas: 95-99 (8-8 last week)
Adam: 103-91 (9-7 last week)
Joe: 93-101 (6-10 last week)
Geoffrey: 93-101 (9-7 last week)
Jim: 96-98 (9-7 last week)
Tom: 94-100 (7-9 last week)
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