I treaded water, I guess, as I split my four disputed games with Joe and only lost two of the three disputed games with Adam; Adam took four of seven from Joe last week. As a result I continue to fade from Adam, whose lead narrowed a bit on the whole but he still has a sizable lead on the rest of the group.
You can view how we've all picked in relation to each other here. Adam sent a very #FirstWorldProblems text early Sunday afternoon complaining about missing on his second of two hero picks to start Week 10 by just half a point and bringing everyone all square for the week to that point. He still has the most successful hero picks on the season, but not the best rate even discounting Joe's perfect mark on a single game as Tom nailed both of his Week 10 hero picks. An even week on consensus picks also keeps us in the black on those games to help buoy everyone's records.
As we move ahead to Week 11, I have a chance to cut into the deficit as Adam and I disagree on five games. Joe and I dispute just two, while the two of them disagree on seven out of 15. Let's get to it!
Thursday Night
New York Jets @ New England Patriots (-11.5)
Lucas: Jets. This is purely a points pick, but it also stems from the fact that the Jets (the JETS!) are somehow playing competent football the past couple weeks. This is probably the week it comes crashing back down, but still, it's a lot of points.
Adam: Patriots. I always hate laying 10+ points, but this is a spot where it makes sense. The Jets are awful and Maye and the Pats are doing well. It is TNF, so who knows, I bet I regret this pick when the Jets back door cover in garbage time.
Joe: Jets.
Sunday Morning
Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins (-2.5)
Lucas: Dolphins. Lo siento, Madrid. ¿Quizás podríamos exportar un juego de fútbol americano decente para tu primer torneo?
Adam: Dolphins. "Not so fast," McDaniels said after a win over the Bills last week. I see more good things for Miami.
Joe: Dolphins.
Sunday, Early Afternoon
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (-3.5)
Lucas: Panthers. I legit did not expect the Panthers to actually be competent this season, but here we are. Them getting points helps here.
Adam: Panthers. In what could be a decent game I just trust the Panthers more than I trust Atlanta right now. I’ll take the points and hope for a Panthers win.
Joe: Falcons.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills (-5.5)
Lucas: Buccaneers. I think I'm off the Baker for MVP campaign I was on a month or two ago, especially with Buffalo playing better, but I'm still taking the points here.
Adam: Buccaneers. A game that can go either way. The Bills have been wishy washy all season with some great games and some duds (see last week against Miami). But Baker seems to always find a way to keep the Bucs in it. So I’ll take the points and pray.
Joe: Bills.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (+7.5)
Lucas: Texans. Did... did the Texans suddenly get fixed? Maybe not, but playing the Titans certainly helps.
Adam: Texans. LOL.
Joe: Texans.
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)
Lucas: Bears. Tom yelled across the street to me when I got home from work Tuesday evening about "How about those first place Bears?" I told him to wait until the Bears face a real team. Because yes, they're winning, and finding ways to win despite not playing the best, but consider who those wins are against. I think they at least stay competitive with the Vikings in the second matchup with them, and possibly even win to get to 7-3, but I don't know that the ceiling is very high yet.
Adam: Bears. I know its on the road, but they want revenge for the week 1 loss where the Bears fell apart in the second half. They are a better team today and I like getting the points in what I expect will come down to the last drive.
Joe: Bears.
Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants (+7.5)
Lucas: Giants. Because I have seen this movie as many times as the Eagles apparently have, and I know it ends with a zone read into the teeth of the defense because Matt LaFleur can't help himself. This is an unserious organization going up against a Derp that somewhat un-derped itself by firing Daboll, which will give them a shot in the arm.
How predictable was our offensive playcalling? This predictable:Adam: Packers. The Giants were showing potential, but then they Gianted themselves. Between injuries and concussions, they are a shell of themselves. Not that Green Bay has much to show for themselves playing in tight games, or losing/tying games I expected them to win. But this is a soft spot and I'm hoping this doesn’t come back to bite me.
byu/sw0le_patr0l inGreenBayPackers
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)
Lucas: Steelers. I keep saying "Gahnta" forgetting that that means 9-8 Super Bowl. The narrative must be maintained, and given that they're a game above .500 playing against a godawful Bungles defense, the win part is coming.
Adam: Bengals. I don’t really like what the Steelers are putting up right now.
Joe: Steelers.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5)
Lucas: Chargers. I think Urinating Tree said it best. [Editor note: tweet contains NSFW language.]
Adam: Chargers. The Sun has set in Jacksonville, the sunshine don’t shine no more. LA is the better team here. I could see a surprise by the Jags, but most likely not.This is a very Jacksonville game to witness. Both very good and fucking terrible at the same time. pic.twitter.com/rn1IcW3SMf
— UrinatingTree (@UrinatingTree) November 9, 2025
Joe: Chargers.
Sunday, Late Afternoon
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)
Lucas: Rams. Tossup game, taking the home team.
Adam: Seahawks. I wish they flexed games this early in the season, this needs to be the Sunday Night game. But either way, it will be a great one and I like the Seahawks outlasting the Rams.
Joe: Rams.
San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)
Lucas: 49ers. I'm debating if I should switch back to the solidarity picks when the playoff run starts and NCC begins its true title defense. Right now the answer is "Nah." Sorry, Brisket.
Adam: 49ers. I don’t get the line. Maybe because it is a divisional game and in Arizona? Still seems low, but Brissett has been ok for them. But I don’t see this game close after half.
Joe: 49ers.
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns (+7.5)
Lucas: Ravens. Baltimore seems to have righted itself these past few weeks and they get to run down the Factory of Sadness again. We all know the Ravens are just going to look like they're peaking in time for the playoffs only to choke in January again. It's how this works.
Adam: Ravens. I am not sure what to make of this game. But I just envision Ol’ Man Henry running on the Browns.
Joe: Ravens.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (+3.5)
Lucas: Broncos. Look, Denver's defense is playing out of its mind right now and they're continuing to bail out Bo Nix. Getting points at home, I feel good about.
Adam: Chiefs. This game will be heavily dependent on what Denver team shows up. Scraping by the Raiders last week may have been a sign of things to come. And while KC hasn’t been overly impressive, I do like them better.
Joe: Broncos.
Sunday Night
Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)
Lucas: Lions. Philly only barely won on Monday, and Dan Campbell just took playcalling duties back. This could easily be a statement game.
Adam: Lions. Ok, I know I said before that the Seattle/LA game should be flexed here, but this is also should be a damn good game. My analysis is that the Eagles have had some struggles. Barkley has shown his wear this year, so I like the fresher Gibbs to have a big game with his sidekick Montgomery.
Joe: Lions.
Monday Night
Dallas Cowboys @ Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5)
Lucas: Cowboys. I look forward to Geno Smith having a renaissance game because Cowboys defense.
Adam: Heiferladies Cowboys. I mean, they “should” win this game easily. Emphasis on “should.”
Joe: Cowboys.
Records So Far
Lucas: 70-79 (6-8 last week)
Adam: 82-67 (7-7 last week)
Joe: 74-75 (6-8 last week)
Geoffrey: 72-77 (4-10 last week)
Jim: 73-76 (7-7 last week)
Tom: 74-75 (9-5 last week)
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